Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Eagles @ Cornhuskers WIN @ NEB

WINTHROP

EAGLESWIN

3-3  |  Road

73
FINAL
Tue, Nov 25 • 8:30 PM ET
Pinnacle Bank Arena
View Odds Details →

NEBRASKA

CORNHUSKERSNEB

6-0  |  Home

80
AI Model Win Probability
EAGLES
100%
📊
CORNHUSKERS
0%
EAGLES --
CORNHUSKERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
112.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-40.0
NEBRASKA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +40.0 points (Nebraska)
EaglesWIN (-3.5) 0 CornhuskersNEB (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Eagles Cover

0.0%

Cornhuskers Cover

100.0%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around NEB -40.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NEB)

WIN By 1-7 points

0.0%

WIN By 8-14 points

0.0%

NEB By 1-7 points

0.1%

NEB By 8-14 points

0.5%

AI Model Projected Score
36
WINTHROP
76
NEBRASKA
Simulated Score
67
WINTHROP
79
NEBRASKA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Cornhuskers Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Cornhuskers Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Cornhuskers (+14.5) Win
Proj Spread: -40.0
D
Sim Cornhuskers (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -12.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u166.5 Win
Proj Total: 112.0
D
Sim u166.5 Win
Proj Total: 146.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 25, 2025 WIN @ NEB 73 - 80
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5) +26.2% more
Nebraska: 11.7 vs Winthrop: 9.3
Assists (L5) +15.8% more
Nebraska: 18.4 vs Winthrop: 15.9
Field Goal % (L5) +4.0%
Nebraska: 50.7% vs Winthrop: 46.7%
Blocks (L5) +56.4% more
Winthrop: 2.2 vs Nebraska: 1.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
WIN Score 36.0 73
NEB Score 76.0 80
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 35.1 / 39.5 34.0 / 31.0
Assists 18.4 / 15.9 22.0 / 15.0
Blocks 1.0 / 2.2 5.0 / 5.0
Field Goal % 50.7 / 46.7 42.0 / 38.0
Free Throw % 68.4 / 75.4 90.0 / 62.0
Rebounding 35.3 / 34.9 38.0 / 48.0
Steals 6.5 / 6.4 7.0 / 3.0
Turnovers 11.7 / 9.3 5.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
2%TICKETS98%
21%MONEY79%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
33%TICKETS67%
48%MONEY52%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
25%TICKETS75%
70%MONEY30%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
WIN
23-11-0 (67.7%)
Margin: 8.2 ATS +/-: -1.0
NEB Advantage
28-7-0 (80.0%)
Margin: 10.8 ATS +/-: +2.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
WIN
12-19-0 (38.7%)
Margin: 8.2 ATS +/-: -1.0
NEB Advantage
19-15-1 (55.9%)
Margin: 10.8 ATS +/-: +2.6
⚖️ Over/Under
WIN
16-15-0
O: 51.6% / U: 48.4% Total +/-: +0.3
NEB
11-24-0
O: 31.4% / U: 68.6% Total +/-: -6.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NEB
WIN
NEB
WIN
ML
51% 18-17
70% 23-10
62% 21-13
79% 26-7
ATS
54% 19-16
79% 26-7
62% 21-13
79% 26-7
TTL
63% 22-13
58% 19-14
100% 34-0
100% 33-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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