UCLA
BRUINSUCLA
5-2 | Road
72
CALIFORNIA
GOLDEN BEARSCAL
6-1 | Home
80
AI Model Win Probability
BRUINS
100%
GOLDEN BEARS
0%
BRUINS
--
GOLDEN BEARS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
98.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-28.0
CALIFORNIA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +28.0 points (California)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around CAL -28.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CAL)
UCLA By 1-7 points
0.2%
UCLA By 8-14 points
0.0%
CAL By 1-7 points
1.7%
CAL By 8-14 points
6.8%
AI Model Projected Score
UCLA
35
UCLA
California
63
CALIFORNIA
Simulated Score
UCLA
68
UCLA
California
76
CALIFORNIA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Golden Bears
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Golden Bears
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Golden Bears (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -28.0
D
Sim
Golden Bears (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -8.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 98.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 144.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 25, 2025
UCLA @ CAL
72 - 80
Feb 10, 2024
UCLA @ CAL
61 - 60
Jan 6, 2024
CAL @ UCLA
66 - 57
Feb 18, 2023
CAL @ UCLA
43 - 78
Jan 27, 2022
CAL @ UCLA
57 - 81
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+100.0% more
California: 5.2
vs
UCLA: 2.6
Steals (L5)
+22.3% more
UCLA: 7.8
vs
California: 6.1
Free Throw % (L5)
+5.7%
UCLA: 71.4%
vs
California: 65.7%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+3.9%
UCLA: 41.3%
vs
California: 37.4%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
UCLA Score
35.0
72
CAL Score
63.0
80
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
37.4 / 41.3
50.0 / 32.0
Assists
16.4 / 17.4
15.0 / 17.0
Blocks
5.2 / 2.6
4.0 / 5.0
Field Goal %
49.6 / 51.8
45.0 / 41.0
Free Throw %
65.7 / 71.4
77.0 / 57.0
Rebounding
36.9 / 35.1
35.0 / 41.0
Steals
6.1 / 7.8
7.0 / 2.0
Turnovers
12.1 / 12.3
8.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UCLA
Advantage
24-12-0
(66.7%)
Margin: 6.0
ATS +/-: 0.0
CAL
22-12-0
(64.7%)
Margin: 4.9
ATS +/-: +1.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UCLA
17-18-1
(48.6%)
Margin: 6.0
ATS +/-: 0.0
CAL
Advantage
17-16-0
(51.5%)
Margin: 4.9
ATS +/-: +1.4
⚖️ Over/Under
UCLA
17-19-0
O: 47.2% / U: 52.8%
Total +/-: +2.5
CAL
15-18-0
O: 45.5% / U: 54.6%
Total +/-: +0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CAL
UCLA
CAL
UCLA
ML
61%
20-13
67%
24-12
77%
24-7
76%
25-8
ATS
64%
21-12
61%
22-14
78%
25-7
76%
25-8
TTL
70%
23-10
61%
22-14
100%
32-0
100%
33-0
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