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UNC GREENSBORO

SPARTANSUNCG

1-6  |  Road

60
FINAL
Tue, Nov 25 • 1:30 PM ET
John Hurst Adams Gymnasium
View Odds Details →

DELAWARE

BLUE HENSDEL

2-4  |  Home

73
AI Model Win Probability
SPARTANS
0%
📊
BLUE HENS
100%
SPARTANS --
BLUE HENS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
149.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-7.0
UNC GREENSBORO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +7.0 points (UNC Greensboro)
SpartansUNCG (-3.5) 0 Blue HensDEL (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Spartans Cover

75.8%

Blue Hens Cover

24.2%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around UNCG -7.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UNCG)

UNCG By 1-7 points

26.2%

UNCG By 8-14 points

25.3%

DEL By 1-7 points

15.3%

DEL By 8-14 points

5.8%

AI Model Projected Score
78
UNC GREENSBORO
71
DELAWARE
Simulated Score
69
UNC GREENSBORO
74
DELAWARE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Spartans Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Blue Hens Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Spartans (+1.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Sim Blue Hens (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o142.5 Loss
Proj Total: 149.0
D
Sim u142.5 Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 25, 2025 UNCG @ DEL 60 - 73
Nov 25, 2023 DEL @ UNCG 77 - 88
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +26.5% more
Delaware: 6.3 vs UNC Greensboro: 5.0
Assists (L5) +25.2% more
Delaware: 14.1 vs UNC Greensboro: 11.2
Turnovers (L5) +13.4% more
Delaware: 13.8 vs UNC Greensboro: 12.2
Blocks (L5) +11.2% more
Delaware: 2.3 vs UNC Greensboro: 2.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
UNCG Score 78.0 60
DEL Score 71.0 73
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 36.2 / 30.8 52.0 / 33.0
Assists 14.1 / 11.2 16.0 / 7.0
Blocks 2.3 / 2.1 2.0 / 1.0
Field Goal % 45.0 / 44.6 52.0 / 30.0
Free Throw % 73.4 / 66.1 50.0 / 82.0
Rebounding 32.4 / 35.2 36.0 / 30.0
Steals 6.3 / 5.0 6.0 / 6.0
Turnovers 13.8 / 12.2 11.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UNCG Advantage
15-19-0 (44.1%)
Margin: -1.9 ATS +/-: -1.0
DEL
10-21-0 (32.3%)
Margin: -6.3 ATS +/-: -0.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UNCG
14-18-0 (43.8%)
Margin: -1.9 ATS +/-: -1.0
DEL Advantage
15-14-1 (51.7%)
Margin: -6.3 ATS +/-: -0.5
⚖️ Over/Under
UNCG
22-10-0
O: 68.8% / U: 31.3% Total +/-: +7.9
DEL
15-15-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: +2.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DEL
UNCG
DEL
UNCG
ML
45% 14-17
38% 13-21
52% 16-15
71% 24-10
ATS
61% 19-12
44% 15-19
52% 16-15
71% 24-10
TTL
65% 20-11
76% 26-8
100% 31-0
100% 34-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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