Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Wolverines @ Jackrabbits UVU @ SDST

UTAH VALLEY

WOLVERINESUVU

3-2  |  Road

75
FINAL
Tue, Nov 25 • 6:00 PM ET
Hard Rock Hotel Riviera Maya
View Odds Details →

SOUTH DAKOTA STATE

JACKRABBITSSDST

4-2  |  Home

52
AI Model Win Probability
WOLVERINES
0%
📊
JACKRABBITS
100%
WOLVERINES --
JACKRABBITS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
128.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-16.0
UTAH VALLEY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +16.0 points (Utah Valley)
WolverinesUVU (-3.5) 0 JackrabbitsSDST (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Wolverines Cover

94.5%

Jackrabbits Cover

5.5%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around UVU -16.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UVU)

UVU By 1-7 points

13.7%

UVU By 8-14 points

24.3%

SDST By 1-7 points

4.0%

SDST By 8-14 points

0.8%

AI Model Projected Score
72
UTAH VALLEY
56
SOUTH DAKOTA STATE
Simulated Score
70
UTAH VALLEY
74
SOUTH DAKOTA STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Wolverines Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Jackrabbits Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Wolverines (-0) Win
Proj Spread: -16.0
D
Sim Jackrabbits (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 128.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 144.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 25, 2025 UVU @ SDST 75 - 52
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +77.3% more
Utah Valley: 6.0 vs South Dakota State: 1.4
Steals (L5) +20.7% more
Utah Valley: 8.2 vs South Dakota State: 6.5
Turnovers (L5) +18.2% more
Utah Valley: 13.4 vs South Dakota State: 10.9
Rebounding (L5) +12.9% more
South Dakota State: 42.4 vs Utah Valley: 37.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
UVU Score 72.0 75
SDST Score 56.0 52
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 36.8 / 37.1 15.0 / 33.0
Assists 19.1 / 18.4 7.0 / 16.0
Blocks 1.4 / 6.0 3.0 / 5.0
Field Goal % 51.1 / 52.1 33.0 / 47.0
Free Throw % 72.5 / 61.5 75.0 / 82.0
Rebounding 42.4 / 37.6 33.0 / 38.0
Steals 6.5 / 8.2 8.0 / 15.0
Turnovers 10.9 / 13.4 21.0 / 16.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
53%TICKETS47%
69%MONEY31%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
47%TICKETS53%
52%MONEY48%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
39%TICKETS61%
23%MONEY77%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UVU Advantage
25-9-0 (73.5%)
Margin: 11.4 ATS +/-: -0.2
SDST
14-18-0 (43.8%)
Margin: 2.6 ATS +/-: -1.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UVU
13-18-0 (41.9%)
Margin: 11.4 ATS +/-: -0.2
SDST Advantage
12-16-1 (42.9%)
Margin: 2.6 ATS +/-: -1.8
⚖️ Over/Under
UVU
17-14-0
O: 54.8% / U: 45.2% Total +/-: +1.8
SDST
15-15-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: 0.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SDST
UVU
SDST
UVU
ML
75% 24-8
56% 18-14
53% 17-15
72% 23-9
ATS
78% 25-7
53% 17-15
53% 17-15
74% 25-9
TTL
53% 17-15
44% 14-18
100% 32-0
100% 34-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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