Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Lions @ Knights ETAM @ FDU

EAST TEXAS A&M

LIONSETAM

2-3  |  Road

70
FINAL
Mon, Nov 24 • 12:00 PM ET
Bogota Savings Bank Center
View Odds Details →

FAIRLEIGH DICKINSON

KNIGHTSFDU

1-4  |  Home

65
AI Model Win Probability
LIONS
100%
📊
KNIGHTS
0%
LIONS --
KNIGHTS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
144.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-14.0
FAIRLEIGH DICKINSON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +14.0 points (Fairleigh Dickinson)
LionsETAM (-3.5) 0 KnightsFDU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Lions Cover

8.1%

Knights Cover

91.9%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around FDU -14.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (FDU)

ETAM By 1-7 points

5.8%

ETAM By 8-14 points

1.4%

FDU By 1-7 points

16.9%

FDU By 8-14 points

26.2%

AI Model Projected Score
65
EAST TEXAS A&M
79
FAIRLEIGH DICKINSON
Simulated Score
72
EAST TEXAS A&M
78
FAIRLEIGH DICKINSON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Knights Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Knights Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Knights (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -14.0
D
Sim Knights (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 144.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 150.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 24, 2025 ETAM @ FDU 70 - 65
Key Model Drivers
Rebounding (L5) +10.1% more
Fairleigh Dickinson: 41.9 vs East Texas A&M: 38.0
Free Throw % (L5) +6.6%
Fairleigh Dickinson: 70.8% vs East Texas A&M: 64.2%
Steals (L5) +60.3% more
East Texas A&M: 10.4 vs Fairleigh Dickinson: 4.1
Assists (L5) +43.7% more
East Texas A&M: 24.5 vs Fairleigh Dickinson: 13.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
ETAM Score 65.0 70
FDU Score 79.0 65
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 33.2 / 35.0 32.0 / 45.0
Assists 13.8 / 24.5 14.0 / 15.0
Blocks 2.3 / 3.6 3.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 42.4 / 47.4 48.0 / 43.0
Free Throw % 70.8 / 64.2 56.0 / 56.0
Rebounding 41.9 / 38.0 38.0 / 29.0
Steals 4.1 / 10.4 5.0 / 8.0
Turnovers 12.8 / 11.9 20.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ETAM
11-21-0 (34.4%)
Margin: -4.3 ATS +/-: -1.7
FDU
11-21-0 (34.4%)
Margin: -3.0 ATS +/-: -1.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ETAM Advantage
14-16-0 (46.7%)
Margin: -4.3 ATS +/-: -1.7
FDU
10-18-1 (35.7%)
Margin: -3.0 ATS +/-: -1.6
⚖️ Over/Under
ETAM
14-16-0
O: 46.7% / U: 53.3% Total +/-: -1.3
FDU
9-20-0
O: 31.0% / U: 69.0% Total +/-: -2.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
FDU
ETAM
FDU
ETAM
ML
65% 20-11
52% 13-12
74% 23-8
62% 15-9
ATS
68% 21-10
56% 14-11
74% 23-8
62% 15-9
TTL
58% 18-13
68% 17-8
100% 31-0
100% 24-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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