Key Game
KEY GAME
Luca Lombardo
#99 | Place kicker@
KEY GAME
Nathan Nyandoro
#15 | Defensive Lineman| Player | |
|---|---|
| Luca Lombardo | None-None |
| Nathan Nyandoro | None-None |
None-None
W-L
None-None
AI Model Win Probability
BOSTON COLLEGE
0%
SYRACUSE
100%
BOSTON COLLEGE
--
SYRACUSE
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
38.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-38.0
BOSTON COLLEGE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +38.0 points (Boston College)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-42-28-140+14+28+42
Distribution centered around BC -38.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BC)
BC By 1-6 points
0.9%
BC By 7-13 points
2.8%
SYR By 1-6 points
0.2%
SYR By 7-13 points
0.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Boston College
38
BOSTON COLLEGE
Syracuse
0
SYRACUSE
Simulated Score
Boston College
24
BOSTON COLLEGE
Syracuse
27
SYRACUSE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Boston College
Win
0% Win Prob
C
Sim
Syracuse
Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Boston College (-0)
Win
Proj Spread: -38.0
C
Sim
Syracuse (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -3.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 38.0
C
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 51.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 29, 2025
BC @ SYR
34 - 12
Nov 9, 2024
SYR @ BC
31 - 37
Nov 3, 2023
BC @ SYR
17 - 10
Nov 26, 2022
SYR @ BC
32 - 23
Oct 30, 2021
BC @ SYR
6 - 21
Key Model Drivers
Total Yards (L5)
+36.1% more
Boston College: 408.7
vs
Syracuse: 261.4
First Downs (L5)
+21.4% more
Boston College: 22.4
vs
Syracuse: 17.6
Turnovers (L5)
+25.8% more
Syracuse: 2.4
vs
Boston College: 1.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
BC Score
38.0
34
SYR Score
0.0
12
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs
17.6 / 22.4
12.0 / 20.0
Rushing Yards
125.2 / 119.1
189.0 / 137.0
Third Down Efficiency
0.4 / 0.3
0.29 / 0.5
Time of Possession
0.6 / 0.5
0.55 / 0.45
Total Yards
261.4 / 408.7
254.0 / 433.0
Turnovers
2.4 / 1.9
0.0 / 0.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
BC
2-3-0
(40.0%)
Margin: -4.4
ATS +/-: -3.8
SYR
Advantage
2-2-0
(50.0%)
Margin: 11.8
ATS +/-: +2.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
BC
Advantage
3-2-0
(60.0%)
Margin: -4.4
ATS +/-: -3.8
SYR
1-3-0
(25.0%)
Margin: 11.8
ATS +/-: +2.9
⚖️ Over/Under
BC
0-5-0
O: 0.0% / U: 100.0%
Total +/-: -9.7
SYR
2-2-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: +3.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SYR
BC
SYR
BC
ML
75%
3-1
80%
4-1
75%
3-1
80%
4-1
ATS
50%
2-2
60%
3-2
75%
3-1
80%
4-1
TTL
50%
2-2
20%
1-4
75%
3-1
20%
1-4