Home / NCAAF Projections NCAAF / Kennesaw St @ Liberty KENN @ LIB

KENNESAW STATE

KENNESAW STKENN

8-3  |  Road

48
FINAL
Sat, Nov 29 • 3:30 PM ET
Williams Stadium (VA)
View Odds Details →

LIBERTY

LIBERTYLIB

4-7  |  Home

42
Key Game
Ethan Tookes
KEY GAME

Ethan Tookes

#10 | Defensive Back
@
Jon Monteiro
KEY GAME

Jon Monteiro

#10 | Wide Receiver
Player
Ethan Tookes None-None
Jon Monteiro None-None
None-None W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
KENNESAW ST
0%
📊
LIBERTY
100%
KENNESAW ST --
LIBERTY --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
78.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-4.0
KENNESAW STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +4.0 points (Kennesaw State)
Kennesaw StKENN (-3.5) 0 LibertyLIB (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Kennesaw St Cover

61.2%

Liberty Cover

38.8%

-42-28-140+14+28+42
Distribution centered around KENN -4.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (KENN)

KENN By 1-6 points

17.0%

KENN By 7-13 points

18.0%

LIB By 1-6 points

14.7%

LIB By 7-13 points

12.1%

AI Model Projected Score
41
KENNESAW STATE
37
LIBERTY
Simulated Score
17
KENNESAW STATE
38
LIBERTY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Kennesaw St Win
0% Win Prob
C
Sim Liberty Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Kennesaw St (-0) Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
C
Sim Liberty (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -21.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 78.0
C
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 55.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 29, 2025 KENN @ LIB 48 - 42
Oct 23, 2024 LIB @ KENN 24 - 27
Key Model Drivers
Total Yards (L5) +14.3% more
Kennesaw State: 470.2 vs Liberty: 402.8
First Downs (L5) +9.0% more
Kennesaw State: 24.6 vs Liberty: 22.4
Turnovers (L5) +73.8% more
Liberty: 2.5 vs Kennesaw State: 1.4
Rushing Yards (L5) +32.2% more
Liberty: 216.8 vs Kennesaw State: 164.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
KENN Score 41.0 48
LIB Score 37.0 42
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs 22.4 / 24.6 24.0 / 25.0
Rushing Yards 216.8 / 164.0 291.0 / 212.0
Third Down Efficiency 0.4 / 0.4 0.6 / 0.54
Time of Possession 0.5 / 0.5 0.55 / 0.45
Total Yards 402.8 / 470.2 503.0 / 452.0
Turnovers 2.5 / 1.4 1.0 / 0.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
68%TICKETS32%
86%MONEY14%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
72%TICKETS28%
75%MONEY25%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
56%TICKETS44%
52%MONEY48%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
KENN
1-4-0 (20.0%)
Margin: -0.8 ATS +/-: +2.3
LIB Advantage
5-1-0 (83.3%)
Margin: 15.8 ATS +/-: +5.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
KENN Advantage
4-1-0 (80.0%)
Margin: -0.8 ATS +/-: +2.3
LIB
4-2-0 (66.7%)
Margin: 15.8 ATS +/-: +5.8
⚖️ Over/Under
KENN
1-4-0
O: 20.0% / U: 80.0% Total +/-: -7.7
LIB
2-4-0
O: 33.3% / U: 66.7% Total +/-: -5.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LIB
KENN
LIB
KENN
ML
67% 4-2
25% 1-3
83% 5-1
80% 4-1
ATS
33% 2-4
75% 3-1
50% 3-3
80% 4-1
TTL
50% 3-3
25% 1-3
50% 3-3
40% 2-3
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
Alabama's Cowbell Troll Headlines Top College Football Week 5 Ja…
espn 5 days, 4 hours ago
Delaware Opens CUSA Play Without Starting QB Nick Minicucci Agai…
yahoo 6 days, 4 hours ago
Liberty's Second-Half Surge Overwhelms Coastal Carolina in 34-17…
ctinsider 1 week, 6 days ago
Liberty Dominates Second Half to Spoil Chadwell's Return, Beat C…
yahoo 1 week, 6 days ago
Texas Opens SEC Play as 5.5-Point Favorite at Tennessee
yahoo 2 weeks, 3 days ago