Home / NCAAF Projections NCAAF / Utah @ Kansas UTAH @ KU

UTAH

UTAHUTAH

9-2  |  Road

31
FINAL
Fri, Nov 28 • 12:00 PM ET
David Booth Kansas Memorial Stadium
View Odds Details →

KANSAS

KANSASKU

5-6  |  Home

21
Key Game
Orion Phillips
KEY GAME

Orion Phillips

#92 | Punter
@
Tate Nagy
KEY GAME

Tate Nagy

#11 | Wide Receiver
Player
Orion Phillips None-None
Tate Nagy None-None
None-None W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
UTAH
0%
📊
KANSAS
100%
UTAH --
KANSAS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
63.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-49.0
UTAH
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +49.0 points (Utah)
UtahUTAH (-3.5) 0 KansasKU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Utah Cover

100.0%

Kansas Cover

0.0%

-42-28-140+14+28+42
Distribution centered around UTAH -49.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UTAH)

UTAH By 1-6 points

0.1%

UTAH By 7-13 points

0.4%

KU By 1-6 points

0.0%

KU By 7-13 points

0.0%

AI Model Projected Score
56
UTAH
7
KANSAS
Simulated Score
24
UTAH
27
KANSAS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Utah Win
0% Win Prob
C
Sim Kansas Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Utah (-0) Win
Proj Spread: -49.0
C
Sim Kansas (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -3.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 63.0
C
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 51.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 28, 2025 UTAH @ KU 31 - 21
Key Model Drivers
Rushing Yards (L5) +50.9% more
Utah: 308.2 vs Kansas: 151.2
Total Yards (L5) +32.4% more
Utah: 507.0 vs Kansas: 342.6
First Downs (L5) +30.8% more
Utah: 26.7 vs Kansas: 18.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
UTAH Score 56.0 31
KU Score 7.0 21
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs 18.5 / 26.7 26.0 / 18.0
Rushing Yards 151.2 / 308.2 290.0 / 161.0
Third Down Efficiency 0.5 / 0.5 0.53 / 0.54
Time of Possession 0.5 / 0.5 0.62 / 0.38
Total Yards 342.6 / 507.0 477.0 / 414.0
Turnovers 0.9 / 0.9 3.0 / 1.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
97%TICKETS3%
91%MONEY9%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
77%TICKETS23%
74%MONEY26%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
64%TICKETS36%
84%MONEY16%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UTAH Advantage
4-0-0 (100.0%)
Margin: 33.0 ATS +/-: +11.9
KU
2-2-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 19.0 ATS +/-: +4.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UTAH Advantage
4-0-0 (100.0%)
Margin: 33.0 ATS +/-: +11.9
KU
2-2-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 19.0 ATS +/-: +4.9
⚖️ Over/Under
UTAH
2-2-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: -0.8
KU
2-2-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: +0.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
KU
UTAH
KU
UTAH
ML
75% 3-1
100% 4-0
50% 2-2
100% 4-0
ATS
25% 1-3
50% 2-2
0% 0-4
25% 1-3
TTL
75% 3-1
75% 3-1
50% 2-2
25% 1-3
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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