Home / NCAAF Projections NCAAF / Georgia @ Georgia Tech UGA @ GT

GEORGIA

GEORGIAUGA

10-1  |  Road

16
FINAL
Fri, Nov 28 • 3:30 PM ET
Mercedes-Benz Stadium
View Odds Details →

GEORGIA TECH

GEORGIA TECHGT

9-2  |  Home

9
Key Game
Isiah Canion
KEY GAME

Isiah Canion

#6 | Wide Receiver
@
Aidan Birr
KEY GAME

Aidan Birr

#33 | Place kicker
Player
Isiah Canion None-None
Aidan Birr None-None
None-None W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
GEORGIA
0%
📊
GEORGIA TECH
100%
GEORGIA --
GEORGIA TECH --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
58.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-10.0
GEORGIA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +10.0 points (Georgia)
GeorgiaUGA (-3.5) 0 Georgia TechGT (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Georgia Cover

76.2%

Georgia Tech Cover

23.8%

-42-28-140+14+28+42
Distribution centered around UGA -10.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UGA)

UGA By 1-6 points

15.3%

UGA By 7-13 points

19.7%

GT By 1-6 points

10.7%

GT By 7-13 points

7.3%

AI Model Projected Score
34
GEORGIA
24
GEORGIA TECH
Simulated Score
38
GEORGIA
13
GEORGIA TECH
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Georgia Win
0% Win Prob
C
Sim Georgia Win
50% Win Prob
C
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Georgia (-0) Win
Proj Spread: -10.0
C
Sim Georgia (-0) Win
Proj Spread: -25.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 58.0
C
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 51.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 28, 2025 UGA @ GT 16 - 9
Nov 29, 2024 GT @ UGA 42 - 44
Nov 25, 2023 UGA @ GT 31 - 23
Nov 26, 2022 GT @ UGA 14 - 37
Nov 27, 2021 UGA @ GT 45 - 0
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5) +29.0% more
Georgia Tech: 1.2 vs Georgia: 0.9
Total Yards (L5) +12.9% more
Georgia Tech: 487.2 vs Georgia: 431.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
UGA Score 34.0 16
GT Score 24.0 9
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs 25.4 / 26.3 14.0 / 19.0
Rushing Yards 185.2 / 185.6 69.0 / 190.0
Third Down Efficiency 0.4 / 0.4 0.36 / 0.43
Time of Possession 0.5 / 0.6 0.41 / 0.59
Total Yards 487.2 / 431.7 250.0 / 260.0
Turnovers 1.2 / 0.9 1.0 / 1.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
93%TICKETS7%
82%MONEY18%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
46%TICKETS54%
49%MONEY51%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
61%TICKETS39%
75%MONEY25%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UGA Advantage
5-0-0 (100.0%)
Margin: 38.0 ATS +/-: +7.7
GT
1-3-0 (25.0%)
Margin: 1.0 ATS +/-: -7.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UGA Advantage
4-1-0 (80.0%)
Margin: 38.0 ATS +/-: +7.7
GT
0-4-0 (0.0%)
Margin: 1.0 ATS +/-: -7.9
⚖️ Over/Under
UGA
5-0-0
O: 100.0% / U: 0.0% Total +/-: +12.9
GT
2-2-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: -0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
GT
UGA
GT
UGA
ML
25% 1-3
100% 4-0
25% 1-3
80% 4-1
ATS
25% 1-3
50% 2-2
75% 3-1
20% 1-4
TTL
25% 1-3
75% 3-1
75% 3-1
60% 3-2
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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