PORTLAND
TRAIL BLAZERSPOR
7-10 | Road
115
MILWAUKEE
BUCKSMIL
8-9 | Home
103
AI Model Win Probability
TRAIL BLAZERS
100%
BUCKS
0%
TRAIL BLAZERS
--
BUCKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
215.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-5.0
MILWAUKEE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +5.0 points (Milwaukee)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around MIL -5.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MIL)
POR By 1-7 points
18.6%
POR By 8-14 points
8.0%
MIL By 1-7 points
27.2%
MIL By 8-14 points
23.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Portland
105
PORTLAND
Milwaukee
110
MILWAUKEE
Simulated Score
Portland
118
PORTLAND
Milwaukee
109
MILWAUKEE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Bucks
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Trail Blazers
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Bucks (-1)
Loss
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Sim
Trail Blazers (-0)
Win
Proj Spread: -9.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u231.0
Win
Proj Total: 215.0
D
Sim
u231.0
Win
Proj Total: 227.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 25, 2026
MIL @ POR
99 - 130
Nov 24, 2025
POR @ MIL
115 - 103
Jan 28, 2025
MIL @ POR
112 - 125
Jan 4, 2025
POR @ MIL
105 - 102
Jan 31, 2024
MIL @ POR
116 - 119
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+17.8% more
Milwaukee: 28.0
vs
Portland: 23.7
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+14.4%
Milwaukee: 44.2%
vs
Portland: 29.9%
Field Goal % (L5)
+6.3%
Milwaukee: 48.6%
vs
Portland: 42.3%
Rebounding (L5)
+24.0% more
Portland: 49.1
vs
Milwaukee: 37.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
POR Score
105.0
115
MIL Score
110.0
103
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
44.2 / 29.9
35.0 / 42.0
Assists
28.0 / 23.7
22.0 / 24.0
Blocks
4.2 / 4.5
5.0 / 8.0
Field Goal %
48.6 / 42.3
44.0 / 46.0
Free Throw %
75.9 / 75.3
78.0 / 76.0
Rebounding
37.3 / 49.1
39.0 / 48.0
Steals
7.8 / 7.8
10.0 / 8.0
Turnovers
15.6 / 17.5
13.0 / 16.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
POR
Advantage
44-44-0
(50.0%)
Margin: -0.9
ATS +/-: -0.4
MIL
32-50-0
(39.0%)
Margin: -6.2
ATS +/-: -3.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
POR
Advantage
46-42-0
(52.3%)
Margin: -0.9
ATS +/-: -0.4
MIL
36-46-0
(43.9%)
Margin: -6.2
ATS +/-: -3.0
⚖️ Over/Under
POR
44-44-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: -1.0
MIL
39-43-0
O: 47.6% / U: 52.4%
Total +/-: +1.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MIL
POR
MIL
POR
ML
64%
61-35
53%
56-49
60%
49-32
55%
49-40
ATS
68%
65-31
62%
65-39-1
60%
49-32
55%
49-40
TTL
55%
53-43
56%
58-46-1
100%
81-0
100%
89-0
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