MINNESOTA
TIMBERWOLVESMIN
10-6 | Road
112
SACRAMENTO
KINGSSAC
4-13 | Home
117
AI Model Win Probability
TIMBERWOLVES
100%
KINGS
0%
TIMBERWOLVES
--
KINGS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
210.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-14.0
SACRAMENTO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +14.0 points (Sacramento)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around SAC -14.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SAC)
MIN By 1-7 points
5.8%
MIN By 8-14 points
1.4%
SAC By 1-7 points
16.9%
SAC By 8-14 points
26.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Minnesota
98
MINNESOTA
Sacramento
112
SACRAMENTO
Simulated Score
Minnesota
110
MINNESOTA
Sacramento
116
SACRAMENTO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Kings
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Kings
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Kings (+10)
Win
Proj Spread: -14.0
D
Sim
Kings (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u238.0
Win
Proj Total: 210.0
D
Sim
u238.0
Win
Proj Total: 226.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 14, 2025
SAC @ MIN
103 - 117
Nov 24, 2025
MIN @ SAC
112 - 117
Nov 14, 2025
SAC @ MIN
110 - 124
Nov 9, 2025
MIN @ SAC
144 - 117
Feb 3, 2025
SAC @ MIN
116 - 114
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+13.2% more
Sacramento: 27.0
vs
Minnesota: 23.8
Free Throw % (L5)
+4.7%
Sacramento: 78.5%
vs
Minnesota: 73.8%
Steals (L5)
+37.9% more
Minnesota: 13.1
vs
Sacramento: 8.1
Blocks (L5)
+35.9% more
Minnesota: 4.6
vs
Sacramento: 3.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
MIN Score
98.0
112
SAC Score
112.0
117
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
33.4 / 33.1
27.0 / 31.0
Assists
27.0 / 23.8
27.0 / 21.0
Blocks
3.0 / 4.6
3.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
47.8 / 46.3
43.0 / 41.0
Free Throw %
78.5 / 73.8
93.0 / 86.0
Rebounding
37.5 / 44.9
49.0 / 55.0
Steals
8.1 / 13.1
9.0 / 9.0
Turnovers
13.0 / 16.2
12.0 / 16.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MIN
Advantage
55-39-0
(58.5%)
Margin: 2.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
SAC
22-60-0
(26.8%)
Margin: -10.0
ATS +/-: -2.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MIN
Advantage
42-52-0
(44.7%)
Margin: 2.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
SAC
36-46-0
(43.9%)
Margin: -10.0
ATS +/-: -2.1
⚖️ Over/Under
MIN
43-51-0
O: 45.7% / U: 54.3%
Total +/-: +0.8
SAC
43-39-0
O: 52.4% / U: 47.6%
Total +/-: +0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SAC
MIN
SAC
MIN
ML
55%
55-45
54%
63-53
61%
50-32
54%
50-43
ATS
54%
52-45-3
58%
67-49
61%
50-32
54%
50-43
TTL
58%
57-42-1
63%
72-43-1
100%
82-0
100%
93-0
Contextual Game News
Tampa Bay Rays Expected to Exercise $13 Million Club Option on Y…
Adam Fox Quietly Dominating as Rangers Surge Early in 2026-27
Cal Bears' Injury Report: Eight Players Questionable for Virgini…
Haliburton Returns to Hilton Coliseum as Pacers Defeat Timberwol…
Chicago Bulls Edge Phoenix Suns 124-117 in Preseason Opener