Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Rams @ Tigers URI @ TOW

RHODE ISLAND

RAMSURI

4-2  |  Road

55
FINAL
Mon, Nov 24 • 11:00 AM ET
State Farm Field House
View Odds Details →

TOWSON

TIGERSTOW

4-2  |  Home

62
AI Model Win Probability
RAMS
100%
📊
TIGERS
0%
RAMS --
TIGERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
148.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-4.0
TOWSON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +4.0 points (Towson)
RamsURI (-3.5) 0 TigersTOW (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Rams Cover

34.5%

Tigers Cover

65.5%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around TOW -4.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (TOW)

URI By 1-7 points

20.1%

URI By 8-14 points

9.3%

TOW By 1-7 points

27.4%

TOW By 8-14 points

21.6%

AI Model Projected Score
72
RHODE ISLAND
76
TOWSON
Simulated Score
69
RHODE ISLAND
73
TOWSON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Tigers Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Tigers Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Tigers (+2.5) Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Sim Tigers (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o139.0 Loss
Proj Total: 148.0
D
Sim u139.0 Win
Proj Total: 142.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 24, 2025 URI @ TOW 55 - 62
Key Model Drivers
Rebounding (L5) +17.8% more
Towson: 40.0 vs Rhode Island: 34.0
Steals (L5) +38.7% more
Rhode Island: 10.5 vs Towson: 6.5
Assists (L5) +26.8% more
Rhode Island: 12.1 vs Towson: 8.8
Turnovers (L5) +16.4% more
Rhode Island: 11.4 vs Towson: 9.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
URI Score 72.0 55
TOW Score 76.0 62
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 26.5 / 33.7 38.0 / 13.0
Assists 8.8 / 12.1 6.0 / 6.0
Blocks 2.8 / 2.9 2.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 39.9 / 47.3 44.0 / 42.0
Free Throw % 66.1 / 78.7 68.0 / 63.0
Rebounding 40.0 / 34.0 35.0 / 31.0
Steals 6.5 / 10.5 12.0 / 7.0
Turnovers 9.5 / 11.4 12.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
URI
16-16-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 1.7 ATS +/-: -1.0
TOW Advantage
19-15-0 (55.9%)
Margin: 3.1 ATS +/-: -0.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
URI
13-18-1 (41.9%)
Margin: 1.7 ATS +/-: -1.0
TOW Advantage
14-17-1 (45.2%)
Margin: 3.1 ATS +/-: -0.8
⚖️ Over/Under
URI
13-19-0
O: 40.6% / U: 59.4% Total +/-: -5.9
TOW
11-21-0
O: 34.4% / U: 65.6% Total +/-: -5.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
TOW
URI
TOW
URI
ML
66% 21-11
62% 20-12
62% 20-12
59% 19-13
ATS
66% 21-11
56% 18-14
62% 20-12
59% 19-13
TTL
53% 17-15
56% 18-14
100% 32-0
100% 32-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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