GRAMBLING
TIGERSGRAM
3-3 | Road
74
UC RIVERSIDE
HIGHLANDERSUCR
3-3 | Home
83
AI Model Win Probability
TIGERS
100%
HIGHLANDERS
0%
TIGERS
--
HIGHLANDERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
149.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-11.0
UC RIVERSIDE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +11.0 points (UC Riverside)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around UCR -11.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UCR)
GRAM By 1-7 points
9.3%
GRAM By 8-14 points
2.7%
UCR By 1-7 points
21.6%
UCR By 8-14 points
27.4%
AI Model Projected Score
Grambling
69
GRAMBLING
UC Riverside
80
UC RIVERSIDE
Simulated Score
Grambling
66
GRAMBLING
UC Riverside
74
UC RIVERSIDE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Highlanders
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Highlanders
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Highlanders (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -11.0
D
Sim
Highlanders (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -8.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 149.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 24, 2025
GRAM @ UCR
74 - 83
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+44.2% more
UC Riverside: 4.2
vs
Grambling: 2.9
Assists (L5)
+38.7% more
UC Riverside: 12.8
vs
Grambling: 9.2
Rebounding (L5)
+24.0% more
UC Riverside: 35.4
vs
Grambling: 28.6
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+7.8%
UC Riverside: 36.0%
vs
Grambling: 28.2%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
GRAM Score
69.0
74
UCR Score
80.0
83
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
36.0 / 28.2
44.0 / 29.0
Assists
12.8 / 9.2
13.0 / 12.0
Blocks
4.2 / 2.9
5.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
47.1 / 42.9
55.0 / 43.0
Free Throw %
72.9 / 76.2
77.0 / 70.0
Rebounding
35.4 / 28.6
33.0 / 27.0
Steals
6.2 / 8.1
3.0 / 9.0
Turnovers
15.5 / 15.1
14.0 / 8.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
GRAM
Advantage
14-19-0
(42.4%)
Margin: 0.2
ATS +/-: -1.0
UCR
10-22-0
(31.3%)
Margin: -4.9
ATS +/-: +0.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
GRAM
15-16-0
(48.4%)
Margin: 0.2
ATS +/-: -1.0
UCR
Advantage
14-14-2
(50.0%)
Margin: -4.9
ATS +/-: +0.4
⚖️ Over/Under
GRAM
10-21-0
O: 32.3% / U: 67.7%
Total +/-: -4.0
UCR
16-14-0
O: 53.3% / U: 46.7%
Total +/-: +1.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UCR
GRAM
UCR
GRAM
ML
66%
21-11
68%
21-10
75%
24-8
68%
17-8
ATS
59%
19-13
61%
19-12
75%
24-8
68%
17-8
TTL
66%
21-11
58%
18-13
100%
32-0
100%
25-0
Contextual Game News
Gerry McNamara Vows to Bring Syracuse Basketball Back to Nationa…
Clemson's Brad Brownell Reveals New Identity, Injury Updates at …
Tom Moore Retires from UConn GM Role, Eyes Broadcasting Career
Kentucky's AP Poll Exit Exposes Uphill Battle for National Respe…
Kansas Jayhawks Set Program Record with 706 Yards, Blank Middle …