JACKSONVILLE STATE
GAMECOCKSJXST
3-2 | Road
63
ARKANSAS STATE
RED WOLVESARST
4-3 | Home
74
AI Model Win Probability
GAMECOCKS
0%
RED WOLVES
100%
GAMECOCKS
--
RED WOLVES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
135.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-25.0
JACKSONVILLE STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +25.0 points (Jacksonville State)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around JXST -25.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (JXST)
JXST By 1-7 points
3.3%
JXST By 8-14 points
10.7%
ARST By 1-7 points
0.5%
ARST By 8-14 points
0.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Jacksonville State
80
JACKSONVILLE STATE
Arkansas State
55
ARKANSAS STATE
Simulated Score
Jacksonville State
71
JACKSONVILLE STATE
Arkansas State
75
ARKANSAS STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Gamecocks
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Red Wolves
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Gamecocks (-4.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -25.0
D
Sim
Red Wolves (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u155.5
Win
Proj Total: 135.0
D
Sim
u155.5
Win
Proj Total: 146.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 24, 2025
JXST @ ARST
63 - 74
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+54.5% more
Jacksonville State: 4.3
vs
Arkansas State: 1.9
Assists (L5)
+24.6% more
Jacksonville State: 16.4
vs
Arkansas State: 12.4
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+10.2%
Jacksonville State: 36.6%
vs
Arkansas State: 26.4%
Turnovers (L5)
+78.0% more
Arkansas State: 17.9
vs
Jacksonville State: 10.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
JXST Score
80.0
63
ARST Score
55.0
74
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
26.4 / 36.6
35.0 / 16.0
Assists
12.4 / 16.4
17.0 / 9.0
Blocks
1.9 / 4.3
2.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
42.9 / 44.2
40.0 / 36.0
Free Throw %
73.8 / 54.2
79.0 / 66.0
Rebounding
40.5 / 42.6
34.0 / 37.0
Steals
6.4 / 5.8
11.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
17.9 / 10.1
15.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
JXST
15-17-0
(46.9%)
Margin: 4.3
ATS +/-: -0.1
ARST
Advantage
20-12-0
(62.5%)
Margin: 5.8
ATS +/-: -0.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
JXST
13-15-1
(46.4%)
Margin: 4.3
ATS +/-: -0.1
ARST
Advantage
15-15-0
(50.0%)
Margin: 5.8
ATS +/-: -0.5
⚖️ Over/Under
JXST
17-11-1
O: 60.7% / U: 39.3%
Total +/-: +0.4
ARST
15-14-1
O: 51.7% / U: 48.3%
Total +/-: +2.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ARST
JXST
ARST
JXST
ML
48%
15-16
50%
16-16
53%
16-14
55%
17-14
ATS
58%
18-13
62%
20-12
53%
16-14
55%
17-14
TTL
61%
19-12
62%
20-12
100%
30-0
100%
31-0
Contextual Game News
