TEMPLE
OWLSTEM
3-2 | Road
76
UC SAN DIEGO
TRITONSUCSD
5-0 | Home
91
AI Model Win Probability
OWLS
0%
TRITONS
100%
OWLS
--
TRITONS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
151.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-33.0
TEMPLE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +33.0 points (Temple)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around TEM -33.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (TEM)
TEM By 1-7 points
0.5%
TEM By 8-14 points
2.7%
UCSD By 1-7 points
0.0%
UCSD By 8-14 points
0.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Temple
92
TEMPLE
UC San Diego
59
UC SAN DIEGO
Simulated Score
Temple
68
TEMPLE
UC San Diego
72
UC SAN DIEGO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Owls
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Tritons
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Owls (+1.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -33.0
D
Sim
Tritons (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o148.5
Win
Proj Total: 151.0
D
Sim
u148.5
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 24, 2025
TEM @ UCSD
76 - 91
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+55.3% more
Temple: 4.9
vs
UC San Diego: 2.2
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+5.2%
Temple: 38.0%
vs
UC San Diego: 32.7%
Free Throw % (L5)
+2.4%
Temple: 72.6%
vs
UC San Diego: 70.2%
Turnovers (L5)
+46.7% more
UC San Diego: 12.3
vs
Temple: 8.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
TEM Score
92.0
76
UCSD Score
59.0
91
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
32.7 / 38.0
50.0 / 29.0
Assists
15.9 / 13.1
21.0 / 10.0
Blocks
2.2 / 4.9
2.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
48.3 / 45.5
63.0 / 42.0
Free Throw %
70.2 / 72.6
45.0 / 73.0
Rebounding
36.9 / 36.2
30.0 / 35.0
Steals
7.7 / 5.6
6.0 / 4.0
Turnovers
12.3 / 8.4
5.0 / 7.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
TEM
16-16-0
(50.0%)
Margin: 3.2
ATS +/-: +0.1
UCSD
Advantage
23-11-0
(67.7%)
Margin: 5.4
ATS +/-: -0.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
TEM
14-17-0
(45.2%)
Margin: 3.2
ATS +/-: +0.1
UCSD
Advantage
17-15-0
(53.1%)
Margin: 5.4
ATS +/-: -0.3
⚖️ Over/Under
TEM
17-14-0
O: 54.8% / U: 45.2%
Total +/-: -1.1
UCSD
12-20-0
O: 37.5% / U: 62.5%
Total +/-: -6.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UCSD
TEM
UCSD
TEM
ML
56%
19-15
62%
20-12
65%
22-12
67%
20-10
ATS
50%
17-17
56%
18-14
65%
22-12
67%
20-10
TTL
62%
21-13
69%
22-10
100%
34-0
100%
30-0
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