JAMES MADISON
DUKESJMU
3-3 | Road
80
FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL
PANTHERSFIU
2-2 | Home
72
AI Model Win Probability
DUKES
100%
PANTHERS
0%
DUKES
--
PANTHERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
171.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.0
FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.0 points (Florida International)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around FIU -3.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (FIU)
JMU By 1-7 points
21.6%
JMU By 8-14 points
10.7%
FIU By 1-7 points
27.2%
FIU By 8-14 points
20.1%
AI Model Projected Score
James Madison
84
JAMES MADISON
Florida International
87
FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL
Simulated Score
James Madison
65
JAMES MADISON
Florida International
78
FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Panthers
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Panthers
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Panthers (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Sim
Panthers (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 171.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 24, 2025
JMU @ FIU
80 - 72
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+100.7% more
Florida International: 9.1
vs
James Madison: 4.5
Turnovers (L5)
+42.1% more
Florida International: 15.2
vs
James Madison: 10.7
Rebounding (L5)
+39.5% more
Florida International: 43.4
vs
James Madison: 31.1
Assists (L5)
+26.1% more
Florida International: 16.7
vs
James Madison: 13.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
JMU Score
84.0
80
FIU Score
87.0
72
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
32.6 / 40.8
32.0 / 29.0
Assists
16.7 / 13.2
14.0 / 12.0
Blocks
4.3 / 3.9
7.0 / 7.0
Field Goal %
42.3 / 49.1
35.0 / 35.0
Free Throw %
66.0 / 71.5
59.0 / 73.0
Rebounding
43.4 / 31.1
42.0 / 56.0
Steals
9.1 / 4.5
5.0 / 4.0
Turnovers
15.2 / 10.7
7.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
JMU
Advantage
18-15-0
(54.6%)
Margin: 0.7
ATS +/-: -0.5
FIU
15-17-0
(46.9%)
Margin: 2.8
ATS +/-: +1.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
JMU
13-19-0
(40.6%)
Margin: 0.7
ATS +/-: -0.5
FIU
Advantage
16-13-0
(55.2%)
Margin: 2.8
ATS +/-: +1.2
⚖️ Over/Under
JMU
15-16-1
O: 48.4% / U: 51.6%
Total +/-: +3.4
FIU
15-13-1
O: 53.6% / U: 46.4%
Total +/-: +1.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
FIU
JMU
FIU
JMU
ML
58%
18-13
64%
21-12
65%
20-11
66%
21-11
ATS
52%
16-15
67%
22-11
65%
20-11
66%
21-11
TTL
65%
20-11
67%
22-11
100%
31-0
100%
32-0
Contextual Game News
