Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Tigers @ Braves PRIN @ BRAD

PRINCETON

TIGERSPRIN

3-3  |  Road

64
FINAL
Mon, Nov 24 • 7:00 PM ET
State Farm Field House
View Odds Details →

BRADLEY

BRAVESBRAD

2-3  |  Home

88
AI Model Win Probability
TIGERS
0%
📊
BRAVES
100%
TIGERS --
BRAVES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
145.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-29.0
PRINCETON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +29.0 points (Princeton)
TigersPRIN (-3.5) 0 BravesBRAD (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Tigers Cover

99.8%

Braves Cover

0.2%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around PRIN -29.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PRIN)

PRIN By 1-7 points

1.4%

PRIN By 8-14 points

5.8%

BRAD By 1-7 points

0.1%

BRAD By 8-14 points

0.0%

AI Model Projected Score
87
PRINCETON
58
BRADLEY
Simulated Score
68
PRINCETON
71
BRADLEY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Tigers Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Braves Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Tigers (-0) Loss
Proj Spread: -29.0
D
Sim Braves (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 139.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 24, 2025 PRIN @ BRAD 64 - 88
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5) +19.4% more
Princeton: 13.0 vs Bradley: 10.5
Rebounding (L5) +17.6% more
Princeton: 37.1 vs Bradley: 30.5
Blocks (L5) +61.8% more
Bradley: 3.1 vs Princeton: 1.9
Steals (L5) +29.5% more
Bradley: 8.8 vs Princeton: 6.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
PRIN Score 87.0 64
BRAD Score 58.0 88
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 34.3 / 32.0 47.0 / 30.0
Assists 13.5 / 12.0 13.0 / 15.0
Blocks 3.1 / 1.9 1.0 / 1.0
Field Goal % 43.7 / 39.3 55.0 / 49.0
Free Throw % 75.6 / 73.2 70.0 / 62.0
Rebounding 30.5 / 37.1 24.0 / 34.0
Steals 8.8 / 6.8 14.0 / 3.0
Turnovers 10.5 / 13.0 9.0 / 24.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
PRIN
9-20-0 (31.0%)
Margin: -3.4 ATS +/-: -0.7
BRAD Advantage
21-13-0 (61.8%)
Margin: 3.6 ATS +/-: -0.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
PRIN Advantage
16-12-0 (57.1%)
Margin: -3.4 ATS +/-: -0.7
BRAD
13-20-0 (39.4%)
Margin: 3.6 ATS +/-: -0.9
⚖️ Over/Under
PRIN
13-15-0
O: 46.4% / U: 53.6% Total +/-: -2.4
BRAD
20-13-0
O: 60.6% / U: 39.4% Total +/-: +5.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BRAD
PRIN
BRAD
PRIN
ML
65% 22-12
45% 13-16
68% 23-11
62% 18-11
ATS
59% 20-14
48% 14-15
68% 23-11
62% 18-11
TTL
68% 23-11
72% 21-8
100% 34-0
100% 29-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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