DENVER
PIONEERSDEN
2-3 | Road
73
ARIZONA
WILDCATSARIZ
5-0 | Home
103
AI Model Win Probability
PIONEERS
100%
WILDCATS
0%
PIONEERS
--
WILDCATS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
138.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-30.0
ARIZONA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +30.0 points (Arizona)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around ARIZ -30.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ARIZ)
DEN By 1-7 points
0.1%
DEN By 8-14 points
0.0%
ARIZ By 1-7 points
1.1%
ARIZ By 8-14 points
4.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Denver
54
DENVER
Arizona
84
ARIZONA
Simulated Score
Denver
62
DENVER
Arizona
85
ARIZONA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Wildcats
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Wildcats
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Wildcats (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -30.0
D
Sim
Wildcats (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -23.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 138.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 24, 2025
DEN @ ARIZ
73 - 103
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+152.0% more
Arizona: 4.4
vs
Denver: 1.8
Steals (L5)
+48.8% more
Arizona: 6.3
vs
Denver: 4.2
Rebounding (L5)
+46.5% more
Arizona: 40.3
vs
Denver: 27.5
Assists (L5)
+35.2% more
Arizona: 14.9
vs
Denver: 11.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
DEN Score
54.0
73
ARIZ Score
84.0
103
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
33.1 / 42.6
44.0 / 38.0
Assists
14.9 / 11.0
27.0 / 13.0
Blocks
4.4 / 1.8
4.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
47.9 / 48.4
58.0 / 40.0
Free Throw %
75.6 / 76.7
45.0 / 67.0
Rebounding
40.3 / 27.5
50.0 / 29.0
Steals
6.3 / 4.2
9.0 / 8.0
Turnovers
12.1 / 9.2
15.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
DEN
15-17-0
(46.9%)
Margin: 0.0
ATS +/-: +1.1
ARIZ
Advantage
36-3-0
(92.3%)
Margin: 16.8
ATS +/-: +3.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
DEN
Advantage
17-11-1
(60.7%)
Margin: 0.0
ATS +/-: +1.1
ARIZ
23-15-1
(60.5%)
Margin: 16.8
ATS +/-: +3.2
⚖️ Over/Under
DEN
20-8-1
O: 71.4% / U: 28.6%
Total +/-: +7.0
ARIZ
20-19-0
O: 51.3% / U: 48.7%
Total +/-: -1.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ARIZ
DEN
ARIZ
DEN
ML
67%
26-13
56%
18-14
68%
23-11
59%
19-13
ATS
74%
29-10
66%
21-11
68%
23-11
59%
19-13
TTL
56%
22-17
59%
19-13
100%
34-0
100%
32-0
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