COLUMBUS
BLUE JACKETSCBJ
11-8-3 | Road
1
WASHINGTON
CAPITALSWSH
11-9-2 | Home
5
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Elvis Merzlikins
#90 | G@
GOALTENDER
Logan Thompson
#48 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elvis Merzlikins | None-None | 5.00 | 0.839 | -- |
| Logan Thompson | None-None | 1.00 | 0.957 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
5.00
GAA
Ldr 1.00
0.839
Save %
Ldr 0.957
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
BLUE JACKETS
100%
CAPITALS
0%
BLUE JACKETS
--
CAPITALS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-4.0
WASHINGTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +4.0 points (Washington)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around WSH -4.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (WSH)
CBJ By 1 goal
0.9%
CBJ By 2-3 goals
0.3%
WSH By 1 goal
6.6%
WSH By 2-3 goals
29.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Columbus
1
COLUMBUS
Washington
5
WASHINGTON
Simulated Score
Columbus
2
COLUMBUS
Washington
4
WASHINGTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Capitals
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Capitals
Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Capitals (-1.5)
Win
Proj Goals: -4.0
D
Sim
Capitals (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u6.5
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
D
Sim
u6.5
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 14, 2026
WSH @ CBJ
2 - 1
Dec 7, 2025
CBJ @ WSH
0 - 2
Nov 24, 2025
CBJ @ WSH
1 - 5
Oct 24, 2025
WSH @ CBJ
5 - 1
Oct 4, 2025
CBJ @ WSH
1 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Takeaways (L5)
+27.4% more
Washington: 5.3
vs
Columbus: 4.1
Hits (L5)
+23.6% more
Washington: 19.4
vs
Columbus: 15.7
Power Play % (L5)
+8.3%
Columbus: 20.4%
vs
Washington: 12.1%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CBJ Score
1.0
1
WSH Score
5.0
5
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
16.0 / 17.0
12.0 / 10.0
Faceoff %
46.9 / 47.4
45.0 / 55.0
Hits
19.4 / 15.7
11.0 / 21.0
Power Play %
12.1 / 20.4
33.3 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
30.7 / 29.5
31.0 / 23.0
Takeaways
5.3 / 4.1
6.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WSH
CBJ
WSH
CBJ
ML
100%
3-0
50%
1-1
67%
2-1
100%
2-0
ATS
100%
3-0
50%
1-1
67%
2-1
50%
1-1
TTL
33%
1-2
50%
1-1
33%
1-2
0%
0-2
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