OTTAWA
SENATORSOTT
11-6-4 | Road
1
LOS ANGELES
KINGSLA
10-6-6 | Home
2
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Warren Foegele
#37 | Left Wing@
GOALTENDER
Darcy Kuemper
#35 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Warren Foegele | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
| Darcy Kuemper | None-None | 1.01 | 0.964 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
--
GAA
1.01
--
Save %
0.964
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
SENATORS
0%
KINGS
100%
SENATORS
--
KINGS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+1.0
LOS ANGELES
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around LA +1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LA)
OTT By 1 goal
19.7%
OTT By 2-3 goals
29.6%
LA By 1 goal
12.1%
LA By 2-3 goals
9.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Ottawa
3
OTTAWA
Los Angeles
2
LOS ANGELES
Simulated Score
Ottawa
2
OTTAWA
Los Angeles
3
LOS ANGELES
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Senators
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Kings
Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Kings (+1.5)
Win
Proj Goals: +1.0
D
Sim
Kings (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u5.5
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
D
Sim
u5.5
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 24, 2025
OTT @ LA
1 - 2
Nov 15, 2025
LA @ OTT
1 - 0
Nov 30, 2024
OTT @ LA
2 - 5
Oct 14, 2024
LA @ OTT
7 - 8
Mar 7, 2024
OTT @ LA
3 - 4
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5)
+41.4% more
Ottawa: 22.8
vs
Los Angeles: 13.4
Power Play % (L5)
+13.1%
Ottawa: 19.6%
vs
Los Angeles: 6.5%
Faceoff % (L5)
+3.9%
Ottawa: 57.2%
vs
Los Angeles: 53.4%
Shots on Goal (L5)
+27.3% more
Los Angeles: 30.7
vs
Ottawa: 24.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
OTT Score
3.0
1
LA Score
2.0
2
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
12.8 / 12.1
8.0 / 14.0
Faceoff %
53.4 / 57.2
31.3 / 68.8
Hits
13.4 / 22.8
14.0 / 22.0
Power Play %
6.5 / 19.6
33.3 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
30.7 / 24.1
22.0 / 28.0
Takeaways
4.4 / 3.7
2.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LA
OTT
LA
OTT
ML
33%
1-2
0%
0-3
33%
1-2
67%
2-1
ATS
100%
3-0
0%
0-3
67%
2-1
67%
2-1
TTL
0%
0-3
67%
2-1
0%
0-3
67%
2-1
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