Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Salukis @ Blue Hens SIU @ DEL

SOUTHERN ILLINOIS

SALUKISSIU

2-2  |  Road

79
FINAL
Sun, Nov 23 • 3:00 PM ET
John Hurst Adams Gymnasium
View Odds Details →

DELAWARE

BLUE HENSDEL

1-3  |  Home

59
AI Model Win Probability
SALUKIS
100%
📊
BLUE HENS
0%
SALUKIS --
BLUE HENS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
159.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.0
DELAWARE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.0 points (Delaware)
SalukisSIU (-3.5) 0 Blue HensDEL (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Salukis Cover

38.2%

Blue Hens Cover

61.8%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around DEL -3.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DEL)

SIU By 1-7 points

21.6%

SIU By 8-14 points

10.7%

DEL By 1-7 points

27.2%

DEL By 8-14 points

20.1%

AI Model Projected Score
78
SOUTHERN ILLINOIS
81
DELAWARE
Simulated Score
69
SOUTHERN ILLINOIS
72
DELAWARE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Blue Hens Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Blue Hens Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Blue Hens (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Sim Blue Hens (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 159.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 141.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 23, 2025 SIU @ DEL 79 - 59
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +15.4% more
Delaware: 3.4 vs Southern Illinois: 3.0
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +13.2%
Delaware: 40.8% vs Southern Illinois: 27.6%
Free Throw % (L5) +7.0%
Delaware: 74.7% vs Southern Illinois: 67.7%
Rebounding (L5) +16.5% more
Southern Illinois: 40.9 vs Delaware: 34.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
SIU Score 78.0 79
DEL Score 81.0 59
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 40.8 / 27.6 27.0 / 20.0
Assists 13.6 / 15.5 15.0 / 16.0
Blocks 3.4 / 3.0 0.0 / 5.0
Field Goal % 46.6 / 52.0 42.0 / 47.0
Free Throw % 74.7 / 67.7 71.0 / 80.0
Rebounding 34.2 / 40.9 29.0 / 35.0
Steals 6.4 / 6.7 6.0 / 9.0
Turnovers 11.2 / 12.3 19.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SIU Advantage
16-16-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 3.4 ATS +/-: +1.7
DEL
10-21-0 (32.3%)
Margin: -6.3 ATS +/-: -0.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SIU
16-15-0 (51.6%)
Margin: 3.4 ATS +/-: +1.7
DEL Advantage
15-14-1 (51.7%)
Margin: -6.3 ATS +/-: -0.5
⚖️ Over/Under
SIU
9-22-0
O: 29.0% / U: 71.0% Total +/-: -5.5
DEL
15-15-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: +2.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DEL
SIU
DEL
SIU
ML
45% 14-17
53% 17-15
52% 16-15
47% 15-17
ATS
61% 19-12
56% 18-14
52% 16-15
47% 15-17
TTL
65% 20-11
53% 17-15
100% 31-0
100% 32-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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