Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Royals @ Paladins QUC @ FUR

QUEENS UNIVERSITY

ROYALSQUC

3-3  |  Road

79
FINAL
Sun, Nov 23 • 5:00 PM ET
Timmons Arena
View Odds Details →

FURMAN

PALADINSFUR

2-3  |  Home

90
AI Model Win Probability
ROYALS
100%
📊
PALADINS
0%
ROYALS --
PALADINS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
144.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-16.0
FURMAN
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +16.0 points (Furman)
RoyalsQUC (-3.5) 0 PaladinsFUR (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Royals Cover

5.5%

Paladins Cover

94.5%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around FUR -16.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (FUR)

QUC By 1-7 points

4.0%

QUC By 8-14 points

0.8%

FUR By 1-7 points

13.7%

FUR By 8-14 points

24.3%

AI Model Projected Score
64
QUEENS UNIVERSITY
80
FURMAN
Simulated Score
70
QUEENS UNIVERSITY
82
FURMAN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Paladins Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Paladins Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Paladins (+7.5) Win
Proj Spread: -16.0
D
Sim Paladins (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -12.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u153.5 Loss
Proj Total: 144.0
D
Sim u153.5 Win
Proj Total: 152.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 23, 2025 QUC @ FUR 79 - 90
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +32.6% more
Furman: 6.1 vs Queens University: 4.6
Rebounding (L5) +17.9% more
Furman: 42.8 vs Queens University: 36.3
Turnovers (L5) +10.1% more
Furman: 13.5 vs Queens University: 12.3
Free Throw % (L5) +24.3%
Queens University: 80.6% vs Furman: 56.2%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
QUC Score 64.0 79
FUR Score 80.0 90
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 26.9 / 41.1 36.0 / 35.0
Assists 17.2 / 17.0 20.0 / 18.0
Blocks 3.1 / 4.0 4.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 45.7 / 49.1 53.0 / 47.0
Free Throw % 56.2 / 80.6 67.0 / 82.0
Rebounding 42.8 / 36.3 36.0 / 27.0
Steals 6.1 / 4.6 2.0 / 3.0
Turnovers 13.5 / 12.3 4.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
QUC
21-14-0 (60.0%)
Margin: 0.9 ATS +/-: +0.6
FUR Advantage
22-13-0 (62.9%)
Margin: 5.5 ATS +/-: -0.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
QUC
14-19-1 (42.4%)
Margin: 0.9 ATS +/-: +0.6
FUR Advantage
15-17-0 (46.9%)
Margin: 5.5 ATS +/-: -0.3
⚖️ Over/Under
QUC
22-12-0
O: 64.7% / U: 35.3% Total +/-: +5.9
FUR
15-16-1
O: 48.4% / U: 51.6% Total +/-: -0.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
FUR
QUC
FUR
QUC
ML
71% 25-10
71% 25-10
62% 21-13
71% 24-10
ATS
63% 22-13
86% 30-5
62% 21-13
71% 24-10
TTL
57% 20-15
47% 16-18-1
100% 34-0
100% 34-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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