Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Bulldogs @ Cougars YALE @ COFC

YALE

BULLDOGSYALE

5-1  |  Road

74
FINAL
Sun, Nov 23 • 5:30 PM ET
UVI Sports & Fitness Center
View Odds Details →

CHARLESTON

COUGARSCOFC

3-4  |  Home

63
AI Model Win Probability
BULLDOGS
100%
📊
COUGARS
0%
BULLDOGS --
COUGARS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
136.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-8.0
CHARLESTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +8.0 points (Charleston)
BulldogsYALE (-3.5) 0 CougarsCOFC (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Bulldogs Cover

21.2%

Cougars Cover

78.8%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around COFC -8.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (COFC)

YALE By 1-7 points

13.7%

YALE By 8-14 points

4.8%

COFC By 1-7 points

25.3%

COFC By 8-14 points

26.2%

AI Model Projected Score
64
YALE
72
CHARLESTON
Simulated Score
72
YALE
75
CHARLESTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Cougars Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Cougars Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Cougars (+6.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -8.0
D
Sim Cougars (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u149.5 Win
Proj Total: 136.0
D
Sim u149.5 Win
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 23, 2025 YALE @ COFC 74 - 63
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +20.6% more
Charleston: 3.7 vs Yale: 3.1
Steals (L5) +17.6% more
Charleston: 6.3 vs Yale: 5.4
Rebounding (L5) +13.0% more
Charleston: 35.7 vs Yale: 31.6
Assists (L5) +30.4% more
Yale: 15.8 vs Charleston: 11.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
YALE Score 64.0 74
COFC Score 72.0 63
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 22.3 / 43.5 24.0 / 43.0
Assists 11.0 / 15.8 10.0 / 12.0
Blocks 3.7 / 3.1 4.0 / 5.0
Field Goal % 42.4 / 50.2 38.0 / 47.0
Free Throw % 73.2 / 78.6 67.0 / 61.0
Rebounding 35.7 / 31.6 35.0 / 35.0
Steals 6.3 / 5.4 5.0 / 5.0
Turnovers 9.4 / 10.5 9.0 / 8.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
YALE Advantage
24-7-0 (77.4%)
Margin: 10.4 ATS +/-: -0.2
COFC
21-11-0 (65.6%)
Margin: 2.0 ATS +/-: -0.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
YALE
12-16-1 (42.9%)
Margin: 10.4 ATS +/-: -0.2
COFC Advantage
19-12-0 (61.3%)
Margin: 2.0 ATS +/-: -0.6
⚖️ Over/Under
YALE
15-14-0
O: 51.7% / U: 48.3% Total +/-: +1.1
COFC
13-18-0
O: 41.9% / U: 58.1% Total +/-: -1.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
COFC
YALE
COFC
YALE
ML
66% 19-10
48% 15-16
62% 18-11
58% 18-13
ATS
59% 17-12
65% 20-11
62% 18-11
58% 18-13
TTL
68% 19-9-1
61% 19-12
100% 29-0
100% 31-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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