Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Orange @ Cougars SYR @ HOU

SYRACUSE

ORANGESYR

4-0  |  Road

74
FINAL
Mon, Nov 24 • 6:00 PM ET
MGM Grand Garden Arena
View Odds Details →

HOUSTON

COUGARSHOU

5-0  |  Home

78
AI Model Win Probability
ORANGE
100%
📊
COUGARS
0%
ORANGE --
COUGARS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
146.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-20.0
HOUSTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +20.0 points (Houston)
OrangeSYR (-3.5) 0 CougarsHOU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Orange Cover

2.3%

Cougars Cover

97.7%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around HOU -20.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (HOU)

SYR By 1-7 points

1.7%

SYR By 8-14 points

0.3%

HOU By 1-7 points

8.0%

HOU By 8-14 points

18.6%

AI Model Projected Score
63
SYRACUSE
83
HOUSTON
Simulated Score
65
SYRACUSE
72
HOUSTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Cougars Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Cougars Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Cougars (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -20.0
D
Sim Cougars (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 146.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 137.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 24, 2025 SYR @ HOU 74 - 78
Mar 27, 2021 SYR @ HOU 46 - 62
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +40.3% more
Houston: 9.8 vs Syracuse: 7.0
Free Throw % (L5) +19.4%
Houston: 83.3% vs Syracuse: 63.9%
Assists (L5) +9.4% more
Houston: 17.6 vs Syracuse: 16.1
Turnovers (L5) +20.9% more
Syracuse: 10.8 vs Houston: 8.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
SYR Score 63.0 74
HOU Score 83.0 78
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 32.7 / 35.3 41.0 / 26.0
Assists 17.6 / 16.1 13.0 / 12.0
Blocks 5.8 / 6.8 5.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 47.0 / 50.2 36.0 / 43.0
Free Throw % 83.3 / 63.9 70.0 / 41.0
Rebounding 38.2 / 36.5 49.0 / 43.0
Steals 9.8 / 7.0 9.0 / 6.0
Turnovers 8.5 / 10.8 13.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SYR
15-17-0 (46.9%)
Margin: 0.8 ATS +/-: -1.6
HOU Advantage
30-7-0 (81.1%)
Margin: 14.5 ATS +/-: +0.7
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SYR
14-18-0 (43.8%)
Margin: 0.8 ATS +/-: -1.6
HOU Advantage
18-19-0 (48.7%)
Margin: 14.5 ATS +/-: +0.7
⚖️ Over/Under
SYR
17-14-1
O: 54.8% / U: 45.2% Total +/-: +1.6
HOU
15-22-0
O: 40.5% / U: 59.5% Total +/-: -0.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
HOU
SYR
HOU
SYR
ML
70% 26-11
78% 25-7
68% 23-11
69% 22-10
ATS
70% 26-11
69% 22-10
68% 23-11
69% 22-10
TTL
59% 22-15
66% 21-11
100% 34-0
100% 32-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
K-State vs Houston: Week 6 Showdown with Big 12 Title Implicatio…
si 7 hours, 27 minutes ago
Aiden Tobiason Brings Sharpshooting and Playmaking to Syracuse B…
si 7 hours, 37 minutes ago
Rutgers Men's Basketball Releases Full 2026-27 Schedule with TV …
yahoo 1 day, 1 hour ago
Gerry McNamara Vows to Bring Syracuse Basketball Back to Nationa…
espn 1 day, 1 hour ago
Houston Cougars Set for Road Test Against Kansas State in Big 12…
si 1 day, 7 hours ago