LOS ANGELES
LAKERSLAL
11-4 | Road
108
UTAH
JAZZUTAH
5-10 | Home
106
AI Model Win Probability
LAKERS
100%
JAZZ
0%
LAKERS
--
JAZZ
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
224.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-24.0
UTAH
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +24.0 points (Utah)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around UTAH -24.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UTAH)
LAL By 1-7 points
0.6%
LAL By 8-14 points
0.1%
UTAH By 1-7 points
4.0%
UTAH By 8-14 points
12.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Los Angeles
100
LOS ANGELES
Utah
124
UTAH
Simulated Score
Los Angeles
108
LOS ANGELES
Utah
112
UTAH
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Jazz
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Jazz
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Jazz (+9)
Win
Proj Spread: -24.0
D
Sim
Jazz (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u245.5
Win
Proj Total: 224.0
D
Sim
u245.5
Win
Proj Total: 220.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 12, 2026
UTAH @ LAL
107 - 131
Dec 18, 2025
LAL @ UTAH
143 - 135
Nov 23, 2025
LAL @ UTAH
108 - 106
Nov 18, 2025
UTAH @ LAL
126 - 140
Feb 12, 2025
LAL @ UTAH
119 - 131
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+31.8% more
Utah: 3.4
vs
Los Angeles: 2.6
Assists (L5)
+20.7% more
Utah: 31.3
vs
Los Angeles: 25.9
Turnovers (L5)
+19.6% more
Utah: 19.9
vs
Los Angeles: 16.7
Free Throw % (L5)
+5.2%
Utah: 82.5%
vs
Los Angeles: 77.2%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
LAL Score
100.0
108
UTAH Score
124.0
106
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
37.1 / 34.3
32.0 / 26.0
Assists
31.3 / 25.9
27.0 / 23.0
Blocks
3.4 / 2.6
2.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
48.0 / 52.4
43.0 / 44.0
Free Throw %
82.5 / 77.2
72.0 / 81.0
Rebounding
41.5 / 41.9
45.0 / 45.0
Steals
10.1 / 10.5
7.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
19.9 / 16.7
14.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LAL
Advantage
57-35-0
(62.0%)
Margin: 1.0
ATS +/-: -0.1
UTAH
22-60-0
(26.8%)
Margin: -8.4
ATS +/-: -0.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LAL
Advantage
51-41-0
(55.4%)
Margin: 1.0
ATS +/-: -0.1
UTAH
41-41-0
(50.0%)
Margin: -8.4
ATS +/-: -0.2
⚖️ Over/Under
LAL
46-46-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: -0.4
UTAH
49-33-0
O: 59.8% / U: 40.2%
Total +/-: +5.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UTAH
LAL
UTAH
LAL
ML
60%
96-63
61%
68-43
48%
40-43
54%
49-42
ATS
68%
108-51
61%
67-43-1
48%
40-43
54%
49-42
TTL
75%
119-39-1
61%
66-43-2
100%
83-0
100%
91-0
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