SAN ANTONIO
SPURSSA
11-4 | Road
102
PHOENIX
SUNSPHX
10-6 | Home
111
AI Model Win Probability
SPURS
0%
SUNS
100%
SPURS
--
SUNS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
224.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-26.0
SAN ANTONIO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +26.0 points (San Antonio)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around SA -26.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SA)
SA By 1-7 points
2.7%
SA By 8-14 points
9.3%
PHX By 1-7 points
0.4%
PHX By 8-14 points
0.0%
AI Model Projected Score
San Antonio
125
SAN ANTONIO
Phoenix
99
PHOENIX
Simulated Score
San Antonio
118
SAN ANTONIO
Phoenix
112
PHOENIX
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Spurs
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Spurs
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Spurs (-2.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -26.0
D
Sim
Spurs (-0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u235.0
Win
Proj Total: 224.0
D
Sim
u235.0
Win
Proj Total: 230.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 19, 2026
PHX @ SA
100 - 101
Feb 19, 2026
PHX @ SA
94 - 121
Nov 23, 2025
SA @ PHX
102 - 111
Nov 2, 2025
SA @ PHX
118 - 130
Apr 11, 2025
SA @ PHX
98 - 117
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+19.4% more
San Antonio: 30.2
vs
Phoenix: 24.4
Blocks (L5)
+18.1% more
San Antonio: 4.0
vs
Phoenix: 3.3
Field Goal % (L5)
+1.9%
San Antonio: 50.8%
vs
Phoenix: 48.9%
Turnovers (L5)
+49.7% more
Phoenix: 19.7
vs
San Antonio: 13.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
SA Score
125.0
102
PHX Score
99.0
111
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
39.4 / 38.8
37.0 / 29.0
Assists
24.4 / 30.2
27.0 / 17.0
Blocks
3.3 / 4.0
6.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
48.9 / 50.8
44.0 / 42.0
Free Throw %
81.4 / 79.8
69.0 / 82.0
Rebounding
44.5 / 42.7
43.0 / 50.0
Steals
12.6 / 8.9
10.0 / 4.0
Turnovers
19.7 / 13.2
6.0 / 19.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SA
Advantage
75-31-0
(70.8%)
Margin: 8.0
ATS +/-: +3.2
PHX
46-42-0
(52.3%)
Margin: 0.7
ATS +/-: +1.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SA
Advantage
60-44-2
(57.7%)
Margin: 8.0
ATS +/-: +3.2
PHX
50-38-0
(56.8%)
Margin: 0.7
ATS +/-: +1.4
⚖️ Over/Under
SA
49-57-0
O: 46.2% / U: 53.8%
Total +/-: -1.1
PHX
40-48-0
O: 45.5% / U: 54.6%
Total +/-: -1.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PHX
SA
PHX
SA
ML
57%
60-45
60%
111-73
51%
45-43
58%
61-44
ATS
58%
59-43-3
58%
107-76-1
51%
45-43
58%
61-44
TTL
59%
61-42-2
74%
134-47-3
100%
88-0
100%
105-0
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