Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Bobcats @ Panthers QUIN @ PITT

QUINNIPIAC

BOBCATSQUIN

3-2  |  Road

83
FINAL
Sun, Nov 23 • 5:00 PM ET
Petersen Events Center
View Odds Details →

PITTSBURGH

PANTHERSPITT

4-2  |  Home

75
AI Model Win Probability
BOBCATS
0%
📊
PANTHERS
100%
BOBCATS --
PANTHERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
134.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
QUINNIPIAC
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.0 points (Quinnipiac)
BobcatsQUIN (-3.5) 0 PanthersPITT (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Bobcats Cover

57.9%

Panthers Cover

42.1%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around QUIN -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (QUIN)

QUIN By 1-7 points

26.8%

QUIN By 8-14 points

18.6%

PITT By 1-7 points

23.0%

PITT By 8-14 points

12.2%

AI Model Projected Score
68
QUINNIPIAC
66
PITTSBURGH
Simulated Score
63
QUINNIPIAC
75
PITTSBURGH
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Bobcats Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Panthers Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Bobcats (-0) Win
Proj Spread: -2.0
D
Sim Panthers (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -12.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 134.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 138.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 23, 2025 QUIN @ PITT 83 - 75
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +33.6% more
Quinnipiac: 9.0 vs Pittsburgh: 6.0
Assists (L5) +24.7% more
Quinnipiac: 17.6 vs Pittsburgh: 13.3
Rebounding (L5) +15.7% more
Quinnipiac: 41.6 vs Pittsburgh: 35.1
Turnovers (L5) +18.0% more
Pittsburgh: 12.1 vs Quinnipiac: 10.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
QUIN Score 68.0 83
PITT Score 66.0 75
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 34.0 / 31.2 32.0 / 65.0
Assists 13.3 / 17.6 11.0 / 16.0
Blocks 4.2 / 4.2 4.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 43.2 / 44.4 44.0 / 57.0
Free Throw % 73.1 / 61.3 60.0 / 67.0
Rebounding 35.1 / 41.6 33.0 / 28.0
Steals 6.0 / 9.0 11.0 / 9.0
Turnovers 12.1 / 10.2 15.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
QUIN Advantage
19-13-0 (59.4%)
Margin: 3.4 ATS +/-: -1.5
PITT
13-20-0 (39.4%)
Margin: -1.3 ATS +/-: -0.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
QUIN
13-17-1 (43.3%)
Margin: 3.4 ATS +/-: -1.5
PITT Advantage
17-16-0 (51.5%)
Margin: -1.3 ATS +/-: -0.5
⚖️ Over/Under
QUIN
12-19-0
O: 38.7% / U: 61.3% Total +/-: -0.9
PITT
17-15-1
O: 53.1% / U: 46.9% Total +/-: -0.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PITT
QUIN
PITT
QUIN
ML
58% 19-14
66% 21-11
45% 15-18
53% 17-15
ATS
64% 21-12
59% 19-13
45% 15-18
53% 17-15
TTL
61% 20-13
62% 20-12
100% 33-0
100% 32-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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