CAROLINA
HURRICANESCAR
14-5-2 | Road
1
BUFFALO
SABRESBUF
8-9-4 | Home
4
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Sean Walker
#26 | Defense@
GOALTENDER
Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
#1 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Walker | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
| Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen | None-None | 1.00 | 0.967 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
--
GAA
1.00
--
Save %
0.967
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
HURRICANES
100%
SABRES
0%
HURRICANES
--
SABRES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
BUFFALO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Buffalo)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around BUF -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BUF)
CAR By 1 goal
12.1%
CAR By 2-3 goals
9.3%
BUF By 1 goal
19.7%
BUF By 2-3 goals
29.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Carolina
3
CAROLINA
Buffalo
4
BUFFALO
Simulated Score
Carolina
2
CAROLINA
Buffalo
4
BUFFALO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Sabres
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Sabres
Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Sabres (+1.5)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim
Sabres (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o6.5
Loss
Proj Total: 7.0
D
Sim
u6.5
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 19, 2026
BUF @ CAR
1 - 2
Nov 23, 2025
CAR @ BUF
1 - 4
Nov 8, 2025
BUF @ CAR
3 - 6
Apr 8, 2025
CAR @ BUF
0 - 3
Feb 27, 2025
BUF @ CAR
2 - 5
Key Model Drivers
Blocked Shots (L5)
+111.9% more
Buffalo: 17.3
vs
Carolina: 8.2
Takeaways (L5)
+18.5% more
Buffalo: 6.3
vs
Carolina: 5.3
Hits (L5)
+13.8% more
Buffalo: 17.6
vs
Carolina: 15.4
Power Play % (L5)
+9.3%
Buffalo: 26.0%
vs
Carolina: 16.7%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CAR Score
3.0
1
BUF Score
4.0
4
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
17.3 / 8.2
21.0 / 9.0
Faceoff %
48.7 / 49.4
43.4 / 56.6
Hits
17.6 / 15.4
27.0 / 18.0
Power Play %
26.0 / 16.7
25.0 / 25.0
Shots on Goal
28.3 / 34.7
21.0 / 30.0
Takeaways
6.3 / 5.3
4.0 / 6.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BUF
CAR
BUF
CAR
ML
67%
2-1
75%
3-1
67%
2-1
25%
1-3
ATS
33%
1-2
50%
2-2
100%
3-0
100%
4-0
TTL
33%
1-2
0%
0-4
33%
1-2
25%
1-3
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