BOSTON
BRUINSBOS
13-10-0 | Road
1
SAN JOSE
SHARKSSJ
10-9-3 | Home
3
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Jeremy Swayman
#1 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Yaroslav Askarov
#30 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeremy Swayman | None-None | 2.01 | 0.933 | -- |
| Yaroslav Askarov | None-None | 1.00 | 0.971 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
2.01
GAA
Ldr 1.00
0.933
Save %
Ldr 0.971
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
BRUINS
100%
SHARKS
0%
BRUINS
--
SHARKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
SAN JOSE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (San Jose)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around SJ -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SJ)
BOS By 1 goal
12.1%
BOS By 2-3 goals
9.3%
SJ By 1 goal
19.7%
SJ By 2-3 goals
29.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Boston
3
BOSTON
San Jose
4
SAN JOSE
Simulated Score
Boston
2
BOSTON
San Jose
4
SAN JOSE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Sharks
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Sharks
Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Sharks (+1.5)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim
Sharks (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o6.0
Loss
Proj Total: 7.0
D
Sim
u6.0
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 12, 2026
SJ @ BOS
4 - 2
Nov 23, 2025
BOS @ SJ
1 - 3
Mar 22, 2025
BOS @ SJ
1 - 3
Jan 20, 2025
SJ @ BOS
3 - 6
Nov 30, 2023
SJ @ BOS
0 - 3
Key Model Drivers
Shots on Goal (L5)
+26.8% more
Boston: 29.4
vs
San Jose: 21.5
Power Play % (L5)
+23.7%
Boston: 37.1%
vs
San Jose: 13.4%
Hits (L5)
+23.3% more
Boston: 29.1
vs
San Jose: 22.3
Blocked Shots (L5)
+14.2% more
Boston: 19.8
vs
San Jose: 17.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
BOS Score
3.0
1
SJ Score
4.0
3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
17.0 / 19.8
15.0 / 9.0
Faceoff %
45.4 / 48.6
50.0 / 50.0
Hits
22.3 / 29.1
23.0 / 30.0
Power Play %
13.4 / 37.1
16.7 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
21.5 / 29.4
31.0 / 35.0
Takeaways
3.9 / 4.1
4.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SJ
BOS
SJ
BOS
ML
25%
1-3
60%
3-2
25%
1-3
40%
2-3
ATS
25%
1-3
60%
3-2
50%
2-2
60%
3-2
TTL
25%
1-3
60%
3-2
25%
1-3
20%
1-4
Contextual Game News
Penguins Embarrassed by Capitals as Turnovers and Disorganizatio…
Sharks Stunned: Celebrini Sidelined by Lower-Body Injury Moments…
Sharks' Celebrini Sidelined with Lower-Body Injury in Loss to St…
Bruins Look to Fix Special Teams as Senators Come to Town
Sharks Place Forward Patrick Giles on Waivers