Home / NCAAF Projections NCAAF / Samford @ Texas A&M SAM @ TA&M

SAMFORD

SAMFORDSAM

1-10  |  Road

0
FINAL
Sat, Nov 22 • 12:00 PM ET
Kyle Field
View Odds Details →

TEXAS A&M

TEXAS A&MTA&M

10-0  |  Home

48
Key Game
Joseph Shannon
KEY GAME

Joseph Shannon

#94 | Defensive Tackle
@
DJ Hicks
KEY GAME

DJ Hicks

#5 | Defensive Tackle
Player
Joseph Shannon None-None
DJ Hicks None-None
None-None W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
SAMFORD
100%
📊
TEXAS A&M
0%
SAMFORD --
TEXAS A&M --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
59.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-45.0
TEXAS A&M
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +45.0 points (Texas A&M)
SamfordSAM (-3.5) 0 Texas A&MTA&M (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Samford Cover

0.1%

Texas A&M Cover

99.9%

+42+28+140-14-28-42
Distribution centered around TA&M -45.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (TA&M)

SAM By 1-6 points

0.0%

SAM By 7-13 points

0.0%

TA&M By 1-6 points

0.2%

TA&M By 7-13 points

0.9%

AI Model Projected Score
7
SAMFORD
52
TEXAS A&M
Simulated Score
10
SAMFORD
45
TEXAS A&M
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Texas A&M Win
0% Win Prob
C
Sim Texas A&M Win
50% Win Prob
C
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Texas A&M (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -45.0
C
Sim Texas A&M (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -35.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 59.0
C
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 55.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 22, 2025 SAM @ TA&M 0 - 48
Key Model Drivers
Rushing Yards (L5) +129.6% more
Texas A&M: 170.4 vs Samford: 74.2
Total Yards (L5) +105.0% more
Texas A&M: 470.7 vs Samford: 229.6
First Downs (L5) +80.3% more
Texas A&M: 23.0 vs Samford: 12.8
Third Down Efficiency (L5) +10.0% more
Texas A&M: 0.4 vs Samford: 0.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
SAM Score 7.0 0
TA&M Score 52.0 48
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs 23.0 / 12.8 22.0 / 3.0
Rushing Yards 170.4 / 74.2 247.0 / 31.0
Third Down Efficiency 0.4 / 0.3 0.47 / 0.0
Time of Possession 0.5 / 0.5 0.55 / 0.45
Total Yards 470.7 / 229.6 475.0 / 77.0
Turnovers 2.1 / 2.5 2.0 / 0.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SAM
--
TA&M Advantage
3-2-0 (60.0%)
Margin: 13.2 ATS +/-: -1.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SAM
--
TA&M Advantage
3-2-0 (60.0%)
Margin: 13.2 ATS +/-: -1.8
⚖️ Over/Under
SAM
--
TA&M
2-3-0
O: 40.0% / U: 60.0% Total +/-: -0.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
TA&M
SAM
TA&M
SAM
ML
60% 3-2
100% 2-0
80% 4-1
100% 2-0
ATS
40% 2-3
100% 2-0
20% 1-4
100% 2-0
TTL
20% 1-4
50% 1-1
40% 2-3
100% 2-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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