Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Lions @ Mocs UNA @ UTC

NORTH ALABAMA

LIONSUNA

2-3  |  Road

57
FINAL
Sat, Nov 22 • 4:30 PM ET
McKenzie Arena
View Odds Details →

CHATTANOOGA

MOCSUTC

2-3  |  Home

71
AI Model Win Probability
LIONS
0%
📊
MOCS
100%
LIONS --
MOCS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
167.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-31.0
NORTH ALABAMA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +31.0 points (North Alabama)
LionsUNA (-3.5) 0 MocsUTC (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Lions Cover

99.9%

Mocs Cover

0.1%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around UNA -31.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UNA)

UNA By 1-7 points

0.8%

UNA By 8-14 points

4.0%

UTC By 1-7 points

0.1%

UTC By 8-14 points

0.0%

AI Model Projected Score
99
NORTH ALABAMA
68
CHATTANOOGA
Simulated Score
72
NORTH ALABAMA
76
CHATTANOOGA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Lions Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Mocs Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Lions (-0) Loss
Proj Spread: -31.0
D
Sim Mocs (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 167.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 148.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 22, 2025 UNA @ UTC 57 - 71
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +69.2% more
North Alabama: 4.1 vs Chattanooga: 1.3
Steals (L5) +37.0% more
North Alabama: 7.7 vs Chattanooga: 4.8
Rebounding (L5) +12.2% more
North Alabama: 35.4 vs Chattanooga: 31.1
Assists (L5) +47.8% more
Chattanooga: 16.8 vs North Alabama: 11.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
UNA Score 99.0 57
UTC Score 68.0 71
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 33.8 / 32.0 33.0 / 30.0
Assists 16.8 / 11.3 14.0 / 7.0
Blocks 1.3 / 4.1 1.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 44.0 / 41.8 45.0 / 42.0
Free Throw % 72.2 / 70.2 71.0 / 53.0
Rebounding 31.1 / 35.4 37.0 / 29.0
Steals 4.8 / 7.7 7.0 / 7.0
Turnovers 10.8 / 10.7 12.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UNA
9-21-0 (30.0%)
Margin: -8.2 ATS +/-: -4.3
UTC Advantage
13-19-0 (40.6%)
Margin: 1.4 ATS +/-: -3.7
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UNA
10-17-1 (37.0%)
Margin: -8.2 ATS +/-: -4.3
UTC Advantage
12-17-0 (41.4%)
Margin: 1.4 ATS +/-: -3.7
⚖️ Over/Under
UNA
12-16-0
O: 42.9% / U: 57.1% Total +/-: -0.4
UTC
16-13-0
O: 55.2% / U: 44.8% Total +/-: +2.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UTC
UNA
UTC
UNA
ML
48% 15-16
43% 13-17
53% 16-14
57% 16-12
ATS
52% 16-15
60% 18-12
55% 17-14
57% 16-12
TTL
77% 24-7
63% 19-11
100% 31-0
100% 28-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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