Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Sharks @ Fighting Illini LIU @ ILL

LONG ISLAND UNIVERSITY

SHARKSLIU

3-3  |  Road

58
FINAL
Sat, Nov 22 • 2:00 PM ET
State Farm Center
View Odds Details →

ILLINOIS

FIGHTING ILLINIILL

5-1  |  Home

98
AI Model Win Probability
SHARKS
100%
📊
FIGHTING ILLINI
0%
SHARKS --
FIGHTING ILLINI --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
162.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-6.0
ILLINOIS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +6.0 points (Illinois)
SharksLIU (-3.5) 0 Fighting IlliniILL (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Sharks Cover

27.4%

Fighting Illini Cover

72.6%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around ILL -6.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ILL)

LIU By 1-7 points

16.9%

LIU By 8-14 points

6.8%

ILL By 1-7 points

26.8%

ILL By 8-14 points

24.3%

AI Model Projected Score
78
LONG ISLAND UNIVERSITY
84
ILLINOIS
Simulated Score
58
LONG ISLAND UNIVERSITY
92
ILLINOIS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Fighting Illini Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Fighting Illini Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Fighting Illini (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Sim Fighting Illini (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -34.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 162.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 150.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 22, 2025 LIU @ ILL 58 - 98
Key Model Drivers
Rebounding (L5) +22.3% more
Illinois: 43.9 vs Long Island University: 35.9
Assists (L5) +19.7% more
Illinois: 14.0 vs Long Island University: 11.7
Free Throw % (L5) +7.5%
Illinois: 72.8% vs Long Island University: 65.4%
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +2.8%
Illinois: 33.5% vs Long Island University: 30.7%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
LIU Score 78.0 58
ILL Score 84.0 98
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 33.5 / 30.7 31.0 / 36.0
Assists 14.0 / 11.7 15.0 / 8.0
Blocks 4.5 / 4.7 11.0 / 5.0
Field Goal % 44.7 / 45.0 63.0 / 38.0
Free Throw % 72.8 / 65.4 73.0 / 57.0
Rebounding 43.9 / 35.9 40.0 / 22.0
Steals 4.7 / 6.1 9.0 / 11.0
Turnovers 10.3 / 14.0 12.0 / 17.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LIU
--
ILL Advantage
28-9-0 (75.7%)
Margin: 14.5 ATS +/-: +2.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LIU
--
ILL Advantage
22-15-0 (59.5%)
Margin: 14.5 ATS +/-: +2.9
⚖️ Over/Under
LIU
--
ILL
15-22-0
O: 40.5% / U: 59.5% Total +/-: -1.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ILL
LIU
ILL
LIU
ML
65% 24-13
60% 21-14
57% 20-15
69% 24-11
ATS
70% 26-11
63% 22-13
57% 20-15
69% 24-11
TTL
57% 21-16
60% 21-14
100% 35-0
100% 35-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
Shockers Stumble in Charity Exhibition Against Murray State, 93-…
thesunflower 40 minutes ago
K-State vs Houston: Week 6 Showdown with Big 12 Title Implicatio…
si 6 hours, 40 minutes ago
CareSource Invitational Turns Tennis Center into Basketball Show…
wcpo 19 hours, 30 minutes ago
Rutgers Men's Basketball Releases Full 2026-27 Schedule with TV …
yahoo 1 day ago
Houston Cougars Set for Road Test Against Kansas State in Big 12…
si 1 day, 6 hours ago