NEW JERSEY
DEVILSNJ
13-6-1 | Road
3
PHILADELPHIA
FLYERSPHI
10-6-3 | Home
6
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Jake Allen
#34 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Dan Vladar
#80 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake Allen | None-None | 6.05 | 0.793 | -- |
| Dan Vladar | None-None | 3.00 | 0.914 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
6.05
GAA
Ldr 3.00
0.793
Save %
Ldr 0.914
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
DEVILS
0%
FLYERS
100%
DEVILS
--
FLYERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+1.0
PHILADELPHIA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around PHI +1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PHI)
NJ By 1 goal
19.7%
NJ By 2-3 goals
29.6%
PHI By 1 goal
12.1%
PHI By 2-3 goals
9.3%
AI Model Projected Score
New Jersey
3
NEW JERSEY
Philadelphia
2
PHILADELPHIA
Simulated Score
New Jersey
3
NEW JERSEY
Philadelphia
4
PHILADELPHIA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Devils
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Flyers
Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Flyers (+1.5)
Win
Proj Goals: +1.0
D
Sim
Flyers (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u5.5
Loss
Proj Total: 5.0
D
Sim
u5.5
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Oct 1, 2026
PHI @ NJ
2 - 3
Apr 7, 2026
PHI @ NJ
5 - 1
Nov 29, 2025
PHI @ NJ
5 - 3
Nov 22, 2025
NJ @ PHI
3 - 6
Oct 4, 2025
NJ @ PHI
3 - 4
Key Model Drivers
Shots on Goal (L5)
+18.8% more
New Jersey: 31.9
vs
Philadelphia: 25.9
Faceoff % (L5)
+9.7%
New Jersey: 53.8%
vs
Philadelphia: 44.1%
Power Play % (L5)
+1.8%
New Jersey: 7.5%
vs
Philadelphia: 5.7%
Hits (L5)
+31.0% more
Philadelphia: 24.5
vs
New Jersey: 18.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
NJ Score
3.0
3
PHI Score
2.0
6
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
13.6 / 13.8
10.0 / 4.0
Faceoff %
44.1 / 53.8
50.0 / 50.0
Hits
24.5 / 18.7
23.0 / 28.0
Power Play %
5.7 / 7.5
0.0 / 50.0
Shots on Goal
25.9 / 31.9
29.0 / 35.0
Takeaways
5.1 / 4.6
7.0 / 2.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PHI
NJ
PHI
NJ
ML
75%
3-1
33%
1-2
50%
2-2
67%
2-1
ATS
25%
1-3
0%
0-3
25%
1-3
33%
1-2
TTL
25%
1-3
0%
0-2-1
50%
2-2
50%
1-1-1
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