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UNC WILMINGTON

SEAHAWKSUNCW

3-1  |  Road

81
FINAL
Fri, Nov 21 • 7:00 PM ET
The Dedmon Center
View Odds Details →

RADFORD

HIGHLANDERSRAD

2-4  |  Home

73
AI Model Win Probability
SEAHAWKS
0%
📊
HIGHLANDERS
100%
SEAHAWKS --
HIGHLANDERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
139.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-21.0
UNC WILMINGTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +21.0 points (UNC Wilmington)
SeahawksUNCW (-3.5) 0 HighlandersRAD (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Seahawks Cover

98.2%

Highlanders Cover

1.8%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around UNCW -21.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UNCW)

UNCW By 1-7 points

6.8%

UNCW By 8-14 points

16.9%

RAD By 1-7 points

1.4%

RAD By 8-14 points

0.2%

AI Model Projected Score
80
UNC WILMINGTON
59
RADFORD
Simulated Score
69
UNC WILMINGTON
73
RADFORD
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Seahawks Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Highlanders Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Seahawks (-0) Win
Proj Spread: -21.0
D
Sim Highlanders (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 139.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 142.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 21, 2025 UNCW @ RAD 81 - 73
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5) +35.6% more
UNC Wilmington: 14.9 vs Radford: 9.6
Blocks (L5) +22.5% more
UNC Wilmington: 2.9 vs Radford: 2.2
Rebounding (L5) +16.8% more
UNC Wilmington: 42.0 vs Radford: 35.0
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +9.9%
UNC Wilmington: 36.3% vs Radford: 26.4%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
UNCW Score 80.0 81
RAD Score 59.0 73
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 26.4 / 36.3 38.0 / 43.0
Assists 9.6 / 14.9 10.0 / 18.0
Blocks 2.2 / 2.9 3.0 / 1.0
Field Goal % 37.8 / 45.7 41.0 / 52.0
Free Throw % 68.0 / 75.1 79.0 / 57.0
Rebounding 35.0 / 42.0 25.0 / 38.0
Steals 6.2 / 4.5 7.0 / 6.0
Turnovers 13.7 / 10.7 14.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UNCW Advantage
27-7-0 (79.4%)
Margin: 8.3 ATS +/-: +0.2
RAD
16-16-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 2.5 ATS +/-: -2.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UNCW Advantage
16-14-2 (53.3%)
Margin: 8.3 ATS +/-: +0.2
RAD
14-15-0 (48.3%)
Margin: 2.5 ATS +/-: -2.2
⚖️ Over/Under
UNCW
18-14-0
O: 56.3% / U: 43.8% Total +/-: -2.3
RAD
16-13-0
O: 55.2% / U: 44.8% Total +/-: +2.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
RAD
UNCW
RAD
UNCW
ML
77% 23-7
64% 21-12
76% 22-7
52% 17-16
ATS
63% 19-11
58% 19-14
77% 23-7
52% 17-16
TTL
67% 20-10
61% 20-13
100% 30-0
100% 33-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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