AI Model Win Probability
NETS
100%
CELTICS
0%
NETS
--
CELTICS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
177.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-27.0
BOSTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +27.0 points (Boston)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around BOS -27.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BOS)
BKN By 1-7 points
0.3%
BKN By 8-14 points
0.0%
BOS By 1-7 points
2.2%
BOS By 8-14 points
8.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Brooklyn
75
BROOKLYN
Boston
102
BOSTON
Simulated Score
Brooklyn
108
BROOKLYN
Boston
112
BOSTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Celtics
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Celtics
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Celtics (-15)
Loss
Proj Spread: -27.0
D
Sim
Celtics (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u222.0
Win
Proj Total: 177.0
D
Sim
u222.0
Win
Proj Total: 220.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 27, 2026
BKN @ BOS
111 - 148
Jan 23, 2026
BOS @ BKN
130 - 126
Nov 21, 2025
BKN @ BOS
113 - 105
Nov 18, 2025
BOS @ BKN
113 - 99
Mar 18, 2025
BKN @ BOS
96 - 104
Key Model Drivers
Rebounding (L5)
+26.4% more
Boston: 48.3
vs
Brooklyn: 38.2
Blocks (L5)
+25.1% more
Boston: 5.5
vs
Brooklyn: 4.4
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+5.2%
Boston: 40.3%
vs
Brooklyn: 35.1%
Field Goal % (L5)
+3.2%
Boston: 46.9%
vs
Brooklyn: 43.7%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
BKN Score
75.0
113
BOS Score
102.0
105
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
40.3 / 35.1
32.0 / 39.0
Assists
25.7 / 25.5
24.0 / 31.0
Blocks
5.5 / 4.4
1.0 / 6.0
Field Goal %
46.9 / 43.7
47.0 / 52.0
Free Throw %
76.0 / 75.6
71.0 / 67.0
Rebounding
48.3 / 38.2
44.0 / 41.0
Steals
6.1 / 8.1
7.0 / 5.0
Turnovers
12.9 / 13.5
13.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
BKN
20-62-0
(24.4%)
Margin: -10.0
ATS +/-: -1.3
BOS
Advantage
59-30-0
(66.3%)
Margin: 7.3
ATS +/-: +2.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
BKN
38-43-1
(46.9%)
Margin: -10.0
ATS +/-: -1.3
BOS
Advantage
51-38-0
(57.3%)
Margin: 7.3
ATS +/-: +2.2
⚖️ Over/Under
BKN
37-45-0
O: 45.1% / U: 54.9%
Total +/-: -0.7
BOS
32-57-0
O: 36.0% / U: 64.0%
Total +/-: -3.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BOS
BKN
BOS
BKN
ML
57%
61-46
53%
50-45
53%
47-41
59%
48-34
ATS
59%
61-43-3
52%
48-44-3
53%
47-41
59%
48-34
TTL
56%
60-47
57%
54-41
100%
88-0
100%
82-0