BROOKLYN

NETSBKN

2-12  |  Road

113
FINAL
Fri, Nov 21 • 7:30 PM ET
TD Garden
View Odds Details →

BOSTON

CELTICSBOS

8-7  |  Home

105
AI Model Win Probability
NETS
100%
📊
CELTICS
0%
NETS --
CELTICS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
177.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-27.0
BOSTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +27.0 points (Boston)
NetsBKN (-3.5) 0 CelticsBOS (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Nets Cover

0.3%

Celtics Cover

99.7%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around BOS -27.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BOS)

BKN By 1-7 points

0.3%

BKN By 8-14 points

0.0%

BOS By 1-7 points

2.2%

BOS By 8-14 points

8.0%

AI Model Projected Score
75
BROOKLYN
102
BOSTON
Simulated Score
108
BROOKLYN
112
BOSTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Celtics Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Celtics Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Celtics (-15) Loss
Proj Spread: -27.0
D
Sim Celtics (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u222.0 Win
Proj Total: 177.0
D
Sim u222.0 Win
Proj Total: 220.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 27, 2026 BKN @ BOS 111 - 148
Jan 23, 2026 BOS @ BKN 130 - 126
Nov 21, 2025 BKN @ BOS 113 - 105
Nov 18, 2025 BOS @ BKN 113 - 99
Mar 18, 2025 BKN @ BOS 96 - 104
Key Model Drivers
Rebounding (L5) +26.4% more
Boston: 48.3 vs Brooklyn: 38.2
Blocks (L5) +25.1% more
Boston: 5.5 vs Brooklyn: 4.4
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +5.2%
Boston: 40.3% vs Brooklyn: 35.1%
Field Goal % (L5) +3.2%
Boston: 46.9% vs Brooklyn: 43.7%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
BKN Score 75.0 113
BOS Score 102.0 105
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 40.3 / 35.1 32.0 / 39.0
Assists 25.7 / 25.5 24.0 / 31.0
Blocks 5.5 / 4.4 1.0 / 6.0
Field Goal % 46.9 / 43.7 47.0 / 52.0
Free Throw % 76.0 / 75.6 71.0 / 67.0
Rebounding 48.3 / 38.2 44.0 / 41.0
Steals 6.1 / 8.1 7.0 / 5.0
Turnovers 12.9 / 13.5 13.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
18%TICKETS82%
39%MONEY61%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
47%TICKETS53%
30%MONEY70%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
76%TICKETS24%
68%MONEY32%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
BKN
20-62-0 (24.4%)
Margin: -10.0 ATS +/-: -1.3
BOS Advantage
59-30-0 (66.3%)
Margin: 7.3 ATS +/-: +2.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
BKN
38-43-1 (46.9%)
Margin: -10.0 ATS +/-: -1.3
BOS Advantage
51-38-0 (57.3%)
Margin: 7.3 ATS +/-: +2.2
⚖️ Over/Under
BKN
37-45-0
O: 45.1% / U: 54.9% Total +/-: -0.7
BOS
32-57-0
O: 36.0% / U: 64.0% Total +/-: -3.2