Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Blue Devils @ Scarlet Knights CCSU @ RUTG

CENTRAL CONNECTICUT

BLUE DEVILSCCSU

2-2  |  Road

67
FINAL
Fri, Nov 21 • 6:30 PM ET
Jersey Mike’s Arena
View Odds Details →

RUTGERS

SCARLET KNIGHTSRUTG

4-0  |  Home

54
AI Model Win Probability
BLUE DEVILS
100%
📊
SCARLET KNIGHTS
0%
BLUE DEVILS --
SCARLET KNIGHTS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
99.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-27.0
RUTGERS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +27.0 points (Rutgers)
Blue DevilsCCSU (-3.5) 0 Scarlet KnightsRUTG (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Blue Devils Cover

0.3%

Scarlet Knights Cover

99.7%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around RUTG -27.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (RUTG)

CCSU By 1-7 points

0.3%

CCSU By 8-14 points

0.0%

RUTG By 1-7 points

2.2%

RUTG By 8-14 points

8.0%

AI Model Projected Score
36
CENTRAL CONNECTICUT
63
RUTGERS
Simulated Score
55
CENTRAL CONNECTICUT
78
RUTGERS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Scarlet Knights Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Scarlet Knights Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Scarlet Knights (+15.5) Win
Proj Spread: -27.0
D
Sim Scarlet Knights (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -23.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u138.5 Win
Proj Total: 99.0
D
Sim u138.5 Win
Proj Total: 133.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 21, 2025 CCSU @ RUTG 67 - 54
Nov 26, 2022 CCSU @ RUTG 49 - 83
Jan 1, 2022 CCSU @ RUTG 48 - 79
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +10.2% more
Rutgers: 4.9 vs Central Connecticut: 4.4
Rebounding (L5) +10.0% more
Rutgers: 40.8 vs Central Connecticut: 37.1
Field Goal % (L5) +4.2%
Rutgers: 46.4% vs Central Connecticut: 42.2%
Free Throw % (L5) +2.5%
Rutgers: 72.0% vs Central Connecticut: 69.6%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
CCSU Score 36.0 67
RUTG Score 63.0 54
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 33.8 / 34.2 26.0 / 43.0
Assists 13.3 / 13.4 10.0 / 15.0
Blocks 4.9 / 4.4 3.0 / 5.0
Field Goal % 46.4 / 42.2 36.0 / 39.0
Free Throw % 72.0 / 69.6 70.0 / 71.0
Rebounding 40.8 / 37.1 37.0 / 41.0
Steals 5.4 / 7.2 4.0 / 6.0
Turnovers 10.8 / 12.0 10.0 / 7.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
23%TICKETS77%
31%MONEY69%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
81%TICKETS19%
65%MONEY35%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CCSU Advantage
18-12-0 (60.0%)
Margin: 2.9 ATS +/-: -1.6
RUTG
14-20-0 (41.2%)
Margin: -4.8 ATS +/-: -0.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CCSU Advantage
14-13-1 (51.8%)
Margin: 2.9 ATS +/-: -1.6
RUTG
17-17-0 (50.0%)
Margin: -4.8 ATS +/-: -0.3
⚖️ Over/Under
CCSU
15-13-0
O: 53.6% / U: 46.4% Total +/-: +3.0
RUTG
20-14-0
O: 58.8% / U: 41.2% Total +/-: +2.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
RUTG
CCSU
RUTG
CCSU
ML
53% 18-16
57% 17-13
70% 23-10
57% 17-13
ATS
68% 23-11
63% 19-11
70% 23-10
57% 17-13
TTL
53% 18-16
60% 18-12
100% 33-0
100% 30-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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