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MASSACHUSETTS

MINUTEMENMASS

3-1  |  Road

65
FINAL
Fri, Nov 21 • 3:00 PM ET
UVI Sports & Fitness Center
View Odds Details →

CHARLESTON

COUGARSCOFC

2-3  |  Home

69
AI Model Win Probability
MINUTEMEN
100%
📊
COUGARS
0%
MINUTEMEN --
COUGARS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
175.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-29.0
CHARLESTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +29.0 points (Charleston)
MinutemenMASS (-3.5) 0 CougarsCOFC (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Minutemen Cover

0.2%

Cougars Cover

99.8%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around COFC -29.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (COFC)

MASS By 1-7 points

0.1%

MASS By 8-14 points

0.0%

COFC By 1-7 points

1.4%

COFC By 8-14 points

5.8%

AI Model Projected Score
73
MASSACHUSETTS
102
CHARLESTON
Simulated Score
73
MASSACHUSETTS
77
CHARLESTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Cougars Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Cougars Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Cougars (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -29.0
D
Sim Cougars (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 175.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 150.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 21, 2025 MASS @ COFC 65 - 69
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +95.0% more
Charleston: 3.1 vs Massachusetts: 1.6
Free Throw % (L5) +5.0%
Charleston: 68.4% vs Massachusetts: 63.3%
Turnovers (L5) +34.5% more
Massachusetts: 14.6 vs Charleston: 9.6
Assists (L5) +28.6% more
Massachusetts: 18.3 vs Charleston: 13.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
MASS Score 73.0 65
COFC Score 102.0 69
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 26.5 / 33.8 14.0 / 29.0
Assists 13.1 / 18.3 7.0 / 15.0
Blocks 3.1 / 1.6 5.0 / 0.0
Field Goal % 42.2 / 45.2 43.0 / 46.0
Free Throw % 68.4 / 63.3 83.0 / 46.0
Rebounding 41.6 / 40.2 24.0 / 34.0
Steals 6.9 / 6.5 5.0 / 5.0
Turnovers 9.6 / 14.6 9.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
38%TICKETS62%
42%MONEY58%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
50%TICKETS50%
100%MONEY0%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MASS
17-16-0 (51.5%)
Margin: 2.6 ATS +/-: -0.9
COFC Advantage
21-11-0 (65.6%)
Margin: 2.0 ATS +/-: -0.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MASS
12-20-0 (37.5%)
Margin: 2.6 ATS +/-: -0.9
COFC Advantage
19-12-0 (61.3%)
Margin: 2.0 ATS +/-: -0.6
⚖️ Over/Under
MASS
20-12-0
O: 62.5% / U: 37.5% Total +/-: +4.5
COFC
13-18-0
O: 41.9% / U: 58.1% Total +/-: -1.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
COFC
MASS
COFC
MASS
ML
66% 19-10
44% 14-18
62% 18-11
68% 21-10
ATS
59% 17-12
47% 15-17
62% 18-11
68% 21-10
TTL
68% 19-9-1
56% 18-14
100% 29-0
100% 31-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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