Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Chanticleers @ Leathernecks CCU @ WIU

COASTAL CAROLINA

CHANTICLEERSCCU

2-2  |  Road

84
FINAL
Fri, Nov 21 • 7:00 PM ET
Western Hall
View Odds Details →

WESTERN ILLINOIS

LEATHERNECKSWIU

1-4  |  Home

64
AI Model Win Probability
CHANTICLEERS
100%
📊
LEATHERNECKS
0%
CHANTICLEERS --
LEATHERNECKS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
119.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.0
WESTERN ILLINOIS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.0 points (Western Illinois)
ChanticleersCCU (-3.5) 0 LeathernecksWIU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Chanticleers Cover

38.2%

Leathernecks Cover

61.8%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around WIU -3.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (WIU)

CCU By 1-7 points

21.6%

CCU By 8-14 points

10.7%

WIU By 1-7 points

27.2%

WIU By 8-14 points

20.1%

AI Model Projected Score
58
COASTAL CAROLINA
61
WESTERN ILLINOIS
Simulated Score
68
COASTAL CAROLINA
75
WESTERN ILLINOIS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Leathernecks Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Leathernecks Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Leathernecks (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Sim Leathernecks (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 119.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 21, 2025 CCU @ WIU 84 - 64
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +10.1% more
Western Illinois: 5.2 vs Coastal Carolina: 4.7
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +2.5%
Western Illinois: 35.6% vs Coastal Carolina: 33.1%
Field Goal % (L5) +2.4%
Western Illinois: 44.4% vs Coastal Carolina: 42.0%
Assists (L5) +45.4% more
Coastal Carolina: 12.9 vs Western Illinois: 7.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
CCU Score 58.0 84
WIU Score 61.0 64
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 35.6 / 33.1 18.0 / 42.0
Assists 7.1 / 12.9 5.0 / 15.0
Blocks 2.8 / 2.9 2.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 44.4 / 42.0 37.0 / 41.0
Free Throw % 68.3 / 74.3 71.0 / 70.0
Rebounding 33.6 / 46.9 34.0 / 40.0
Steals 5.2 / 4.7 4.0 / 6.0
Turnovers 12.5 / 12.3 10.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
78%TICKETS22%
94%MONEY6%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
69%TICKETS31%
85%MONEY15%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
78%TICKETS22%
25%MONEY75%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CCU Advantage
19-13-0 (59.4%)
Margin: 0.7 ATS +/-: +0.4
WIU
5-26-0 (16.1%)
Margin: -11.9 ATS +/-: -5.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CCU Advantage
18-12-1 (60.0%)
Margin: 0.7 ATS +/-: +0.4
WIU
11-17-0 (39.3%)
Margin: -11.9 ATS +/-: -5.3
⚖️ Over/Under
CCU
17-13-1
O: 56.7% / U: 43.3% Total +/-: -0.6
WIU
13-15-0
O: 46.4% / U: 53.6% Total +/-: -0.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WIU
CCU
WIU
CCU
ML
45% 14-17
41% 13-19
61% 19-12
55% 17-14
ATS
52% 16-15
38% 12-20
61% 19-12
55% 17-14
TTL
45% 14-17
75% 24-8
100% 31-0
100% 31-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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