Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Mountaineers @ Tigers WVU @ CLEM

WEST VIRGINIA

MOUNTAINEERSWVU

5-1  |  Road

67
FINAL
Fri, Nov 21 • 6:30 PM ET
TD Arena
View Odds Details →

CLEMSON

TIGERSCLEM

5-1  |  Home

70
AI Model Win Probability
MOUNTAINEERS
100%
📊
TIGERS
0%
MOUNTAINEERS --
TIGERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
85.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-13.0
CLEMSON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +13.0 points (Clemson)
MountaineersWVU (-3.5) 0 TigersCLEM (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Mountaineers Cover

9.7%

Tigers Cover

90.3%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around CLEM -13.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CLEM)

WVU By 1-7 points

6.8%

WVU By 8-14 points

1.7%

CLEM By 1-7 points

18.6%

CLEM By 8-14 points

26.8%

AI Model Projected Score
36
WEST VIRGINIA
49
CLEMSON
Simulated Score
68
WEST VIRGINIA
72
CLEMSON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Tigers Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Tigers Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Tigers (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Sim Tigers (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 85.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 21, 2025 WVU @ CLEM 67 - 70
Nov 21, 2021 CLEM @ WVU 59 - 66
Key Model Drivers
Rebounding (L5) +17.6% more
Clemson: 41.3 vs West Virginia: 35.1
Blocks (L5) +15.5% more
Clemson: 3.8 vs West Virginia: 3.3
Assists (L5) +14.5% more
Clemson: 16.6 vs West Virginia: 14.5
Free Throw % (L5) +6.3%
Clemson: 75.3% vs West Virginia: 69.0%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
WVU Score 36.0 67
CLEM Score 49.0 70
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 31.9 / 36.5 32.0 / 39.0
Assists 16.6 / 14.5 12.0 / 9.0
Blocks 3.8 / 3.3 4.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 44.2 / 45.5 46.0 / 40.0
Free Throw % 75.3 / 69.0 79.0 / 63.0
Rebounding 41.3 / 35.1 36.0 / 33.0
Steals 5.4 / 7.2 5.0 / 8.0
Turnovers 9.2 / 10.0 12.0 / 8.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
25%TICKETS75%
45%MONEY55%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
37%TICKETS63%
30%MONEY70%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
79%TICKETS21%
57%MONEY43%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
WVU
21-14-0 (60.0%)
Margin: 4.9 ATS +/-: +0.2
CLEM Advantage
24-11-0 (68.6%)
Margin: 7.0 ATS +/-: +0.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
WVU Advantage
18-17-0 (51.4%)
Margin: 4.9 ATS +/-: +0.2
CLEM
16-17-1 (48.5%)
Margin: 7.0 ATS +/-: +0.1
⚖️ Over/Under
WVU
13-21-1
O: 38.2% / U: 61.8% Total +/-: -1.6
CLEM
13-21-0
O: 38.2% / U: 61.8% Total +/-: -2.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CLEM
WVU
CLEM
WVU
ML
63% 22-13
63% 22-13
72% 23-9
76% 26-8
ATS
71% 25-10
60% 21-14
72% 23-9
76% 26-8
TTL
69% 24-11
40% 14-21
100% 32-0
100% 34-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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