AI Model Win Probability
REDHAWKS
100%
CARDINAL
0%
REDHAWKS
--
CARDINAL
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
138.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-14.0
STANFORD
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +14.0 points (Stanford)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around STAN -14.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (STAN)
SEA By 1-7 points
5.8%
SEA By 8-14 points
1.4%
STAN By 1-7 points
16.9%
STAN By 8-14 points
26.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Seattle U
62
SEATTLE U
Stanford
76
STANFORD
Simulated Score
Seattle U
69
SEATTLE U
Stanford
78
STANFORD
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Cardinal
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Cardinal
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Cardinal (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -14.0
D
Sim
Cardinal (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -9.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 138.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 21, 2025
SEA @ STAN
77 - 69
Key Model Drivers
Rebounding (L5)
+26.1% more
Stanford: 37.3
vs
Seattle U: 29.6
Free Throw % (L5)
+10.3%
Stanford: 76.2%
vs
Seattle U: 66.0%
Turnovers (L5)
+24.0% more
Seattle U: 13.5
vs
Stanford: 10.3
Steals (L5)
+20.5% more
Seattle U: 8.4
vs
Stanford: 6.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
SEA Score
62.0
77
STAN Score
76.0
69
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
33.2 / 43.9
28.0 / 44.0
Assists
13.3 / 16.0
10.0 / 13.0
Blocks
4.0 / 4.6
5.0 / 10.0
Field Goal %
46.3 / 54.2
37.0 / 48.0
Free Throw %
76.2 / 66.0
64.0 / 83.0
Rebounding
37.3 / 29.6
34.0 / 35.0
Steals
6.7 / 8.4
11.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
10.3 / 13.5
12.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SEA
21-14-0
(60.0%)
Margin: 4.9
ATS +/-: +0.5
STAN
Advantage
20-13-0
(60.6%)
Margin: 3.0
ATS +/-: +0.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SEA
15-17-1
(46.9%)
Margin: 4.9
ATS +/-: +0.5
STAN
Advantage
16-16-1
(50.0%)
Margin: 3.0
ATS +/-: +0.1
⚖️ Over/Under
SEA
13-20-0
O: 39.4% / U: 60.6%
Total +/-: -4.8
STAN
15-18-0
O: 45.5% / U: 54.6%
Total +/-: +0.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
STAN
SEA
STAN
SEA
ML
48%
16-17
46%
16-19
50%
16-16
71%
24-10
ATS
48%
16-17
57%
20-15
50%
16-16
71%
24-10
TTL
55%
18-15
49%
17-18
100%
32-0
100%
34-0