WISCONSIN
BADGERSWIS
4-1 | Road
70
BYU
COUGARSBYU
4-1 | Home
98
AI Model Win Probability
BADGERS
100%
COUGARS
0%
BADGERS
--
COUGARS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
129.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-23.0
BYU
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +23.0 points (BYU)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around BYU -23.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BYU)
WIS By 1-7 points
0.8%
WIS By 8-14 points
0.1%
BYU By 1-7 points
4.8%
BYU By 8-14 points
13.7%
AI Model Projected Score
Wisconsin
53
WISCONSIN
BYU
76
BYU
Simulated Score
Wisconsin
68
WISCONSIN
BYU
75
BYU
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Cougars
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Cougars
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Cougars (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -23.0
D
Sim
Cougars (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 129.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 21, 2025
WIS @ BYU
70 - 98
Mar 22, 2025
BYU @ WIS
91 - 89
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+17.1% more
BYU: 7.9
vs
Wisconsin: 6.7
Turnovers (L5)
+16.6% more
BYU: 9.8
vs
Wisconsin: 8.4
Field Goal % (L5)
+1.7%
BYU: 48.6%
vs
Wisconsin: 46.9%
Blocks (L5)
+47.1% more
Wisconsin: 5.1
vs
BYU: 2.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
WIS Score
53.0
70
BYU Score
76.0
98
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
32.1 / 35.3
41.0 / 24.0
Assists
12.9 / 17.2
18.0 / 8.0
Blocks
2.7 / 5.1
2.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
48.6 / 46.9
48.0 / 38.0
Free Throw %
80.2 / 87.3
76.0 / 65.0
Rebounding
36.7 / 38.7
44.0 / 39.0
Steals
7.9 / 6.7
6.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
9.8 / 8.4
8.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
WIS
Advantage
24-11-0
(68.6%)
Margin: 6.9
ATS +/-: +1.1
BYU
23-12-0
(65.7%)
Margin: 8.1
ATS +/-: -1.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
WIS
Advantage
20-15-0
(57.1%)
Margin: 6.9
ATS +/-: +1.1
BYU
16-19-0
(45.7%)
Margin: 8.1
ATS +/-: -1.9
⚖️ Over/Under
WIS
22-13-0
O: 62.9% / U: 37.1%
Total +/-: +3.5
BYU
17-18-0
O: 48.6% / U: 51.4%
Total +/-: +0.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BYU
WIS
BYU
WIS
ML
60%
21-14
60%
21-14
72%
23-9
69%
24-11
ATS
54%
19-16
51%
18-17
72%
23-9
69%
24-11
TTL
69%
24-11
57%
20-15
100%
32-0
100%
35-0
Contextual Game News
K-State vs Houston: Week 6 Showdown with Big 12 Title Implicatio…
Houston Cougars Set for Road Test Against Kansas State in Big 12…
Houston Cougars Erase 17-Point Deficit to Stun UCF in Space Game
Houston Cougars Set for Nationally Televised Road Battle at Kans…
Ryan Smith Vows Major Estate Gift to BYU, Calls College Sports '…