BUCKNELL
BISONBUCK
2-3 | Road
49
ST. JOHN'S
RED STORMSJU
2-1 | Home
97
AI Model Win Probability
BISON
100%
RED STORM
0%
BISON
--
RED STORM
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
131.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.0
ST. JOHN'S
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.0 points (St. John's)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around SJU -3.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SJU)
BUCK By 1-7 points
21.6%
BUCK By 8-14 points
10.7%
SJU By 1-7 points
27.2%
SJU By 8-14 points
20.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Bucknell
64
BUCKNELL
St. John's
67
ST. JOHN'S
Simulated Score
Bucknell
63
BUCKNELL
St. John's
85
ST. JOHN'S
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Red Storm
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Red Storm
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Red Storm (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Sim
Red Storm (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -22.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 131.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 148.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 20, 2025
BUCK @ SJU
49 - 97
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+79.6% more
St. John's: 4.8
vs
Bucknell: 2.7
Assists (L5)
+51.7% more
St. John's: 17.4
vs
Bucknell: 11.5
Rebounding (L5)
+34.4% more
St. John's: 43.8
vs
Bucknell: 32.6
Steals (L5)
+33.3% more
St. John's: 8.7
vs
Bucknell: 6.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
BUCK Score
64.0
49
SJU Score
67.0
97
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
29.2 / 32.6
38.0 / 19.0
Assists
17.4 / 11.5
21.0 / 11.0
Blocks
4.8 / 2.7
7.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
47.2 / 38.6
51.0 / 29.0
Free Throw %
68.8 / 76.6
75.0 / 68.0
Rebounding
43.8 / 32.6
48.0 / 26.0
Steals
8.7 / 6.5
15.0 / 9.0
Turnovers
10.9 / 13.8
13.0 / 24.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
BUCK
10-23-0
(30.3%)
Margin: -8.9
ATS +/-: -3.9
SJU
Advantage
30-7-0
(81.1%)
Margin: 11.3
ATS +/-: +1.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
BUCK
14-19-0
(42.4%)
Margin: -8.9
ATS +/-: -3.9
SJU
Advantage
22-13-1
(62.9%)
Margin: 11.3
ATS +/-: +1.8
⚖️ Over/Under
BUCK
13-20-0
O: 39.4% / U: 60.6%
Total +/-: +1.3
SJU
13-23-0
O: 36.1% / U: 63.9%
Total +/-: -3.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SJU
BUCK
SJU
BUCK
ML
62%
18-11
55%
18-15
62%
18-11
64%
21-12
ATS
66%
19-10
45%
15-18
62%
18-11
64%
21-12
TTL
59%
17-12
61%
20-13
100%
29-0
100%
33-0
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