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SOUTH DAKOTA

COYOTESSDAK

3-3  |  Road

68
FINAL
Thu, Nov 20 • 8:00 PM ET
Mizzou Arena
View Odds Details →

MISSOURI

TIGERSMIZ

6-0  |  Home

102
AI Model Win Probability
COYOTES
100%
📊
TIGERS
0%
COYOTES --
TIGERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
131.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-11.0
MISSOURI
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +11.0 points (Missouri)
CoyotesSDAK (-3.5) 0 TigersMIZ (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Coyotes Cover

13.6%

Tigers Cover

86.4%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around MIZ -11.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MIZ)

SDAK By 1-7 points

9.3%

SDAK By 8-14 points

2.7%

MIZ By 1-7 points

21.6%

MIZ By 8-14 points

27.4%

AI Model Projected Score
60
SOUTH DAKOTA
71
MISSOURI
Simulated Score
61
SOUTH DAKOTA
78
MISSOURI
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Tigers Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Tigers Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Tigers (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -11.0
D
Sim Tigers (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -17.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 131.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 139.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 20, 2025 SDAK @ MIZ 68 - 102
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5) +33.3% more
Missouri: 12.9 vs South Dakota: 9.7
Assists (L5) +25.2% more
Missouri: 16.5 vs South Dakota: 13.2
Field Goal % (L5) +9.5%
Missouri: 54.0% vs South Dakota: 44.5%
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +9.3%
Missouri: 41.7% vs South Dakota: 32.5%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
SDAK Score 60.0 68
MIZ Score 71.0 102
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 41.7 / 32.5 55.0 / 34.0
Assists 16.5 / 13.2 16.0 / 9.0
Blocks 2.1 / 2.9 2.0 / 4.0
Field Goal % 54.0 / 44.5 64.0 / 40.0
Free Throw % 68.1 / 71.9 80.0 / 57.0
Rebounding 39.5 / 37.2 38.0 / 24.0
Steals 8.1 / 7.8 10.0 / 8.0
Turnovers 12.9 / 9.7 17.0 / 17.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
4%TICKETS96%
4%MONEY96%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
53%TICKETS47%
70%MONEY30%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
27%TICKETS73%
35%MONEY65%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SDAK
16-16-0 (50.0%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-: +0.7
MIZ Advantage
20-13-0 (60.6%)
Margin: 3.8 ATS +/-: -2.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SDAK Advantage
16-13-0 (55.2%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-: +0.7
MIZ
14-19-0 (42.4%)
Margin: 3.8 ATS +/-: -2.3
⚖️ Over/Under
SDAK
12-17-0
O: 41.4% / U: 58.6% Total +/-: -1.1
MIZ
16-16-1
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: -0.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MIZ
SDAK
MIZ
SDAK
ML
61% 20-13
70% 21-9
69% 22-10
63% 19-11
ATS
70% 23-10
70% 21-9
69% 22-10
63% 19-11
TTL
79% 26-7
67% 20-10
100% 32-0
100% 30-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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