Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Lions @ Hoosiers LIN @ IU

LINDENWOOD

LIONSLIN

2-4  |  Road

53
FINAL
Thu, Nov 20 • 6:00 PM ET
Simon Skjodt Assembly Hall
View Odds Details →

INDIANA

HOOSIERSIU

5-0  |  Home

73
AI Model Win Probability
LIONS
100%
📊
HOOSIERS
0%
LIONS --
HOOSIERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
156.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-16.0
INDIANA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +16.0 points (Indiana)
LionsLIN (-3.5) 0 HoosiersIU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Lions Cover

5.5%

Hoosiers Cover

94.5%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around IU -16.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (IU)

LIN By 1-7 points

4.0%

LIN By 8-14 points

0.8%

IU By 1-7 points

13.7%

IU By 8-14 points

24.3%

AI Model Projected Score
70
LINDENWOOD
86
INDIANA
Simulated Score
58
LINDENWOOD
89
INDIANA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Hoosiers Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Hoosiers Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Hoosiers (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -16.0
D
Sim Hoosiers (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -31.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 156.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 20, 2025 LIN @ IU 53 - 73
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5) +47.9% more
Indiana: 20.7 vs Lindenwood: 14.0
Blocks (L5) +33.2% more
Indiana: 3.3 vs Lindenwood: 2.5
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +9.7%
Indiana: 35.8% vs Lindenwood: 26.1%
Free Throw % (L5) +7.7%
Indiana: 72.4% vs Lindenwood: 64.7%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
LIN Score 70.0 53
IU Score 86.0 73
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 35.8 / 26.1 32.0 / 17.0
Assists 20.7 / 14.0 13.0 / 8.0
Blocks 3.3 / 2.5 5.0 / 7.0
Field Goal % 48.5 / 44.2 38.0 / 25.0
Free Throw % 72.4 / 64.7 67.0 / 80.0
Rebounding 38.0 / 35.3 44.0 / 51.0
Steals 5.7 / 9.8 8.0 / 4.0
Turnovers 9.2 / 14.0 8.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
38%TICKETS62%
19%MONEY81%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
49%TICKETS51%
57%MONEY43%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LIN
18-15-0 (54.6%)
Margin: 5.1 ATS +/-: -0.2
IU Advantage
18-14-0 (56.3%)
Margin: 6.0 ATS +/-: -1.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LIN Advantage
14-15-1 (48.3%)
Margin: 5.1 ATS +/-: -0.2
IU
14-18-0 (43.8%)
Margin: 6.0 ATS +/-: -1.8
⚖️ Over/Under
LIN
17-13-0
O: 56.7% / U: 43.3% Total +/-: -0.8
IU
14-18-0
O: 43.8% / U: 56.3% Total +/-: -0.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
IU
LIN
IU
LIN
ML
66% 21-11
47% 15-17
71% 22-9
61% 19-12
ATS
53% 17-15
34% 11-21
71% 22-9
61% 19-12
TTL
56% 18-14
53% 17-15
100% 31-0
100% 31-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
K-State vs Houston: Week 6 Showdown with Big 12 Title Implicatio…
si 7 hours, 30 minutes ago
Luke Loucks Opens Up on Recruiting, Offensive Rebounding, and Ro…
si 1 day, 1 hour ago
Clemson's Brad Brownell Reveals New Identity, Injury Updates at …
si 1 day, 1 hour ago
Tyrese Haliburton Set to Make Emotional Return to Iowa State as …
kcci 1 day, 7 hours ago
Kansas Shakes Up Offensive Line: Amir Herring Promoted to Starti…
si 2 days, 7 hours ago