AI Model Win Probability
RAIDERS
100%
BIG RED
0%
RAIDERS
--
BIG RED
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
164.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-32.0
CORNELL
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +32.0 points (Cornell)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around COR -32.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (COR)
COLG By 1-7 points
0.1%
COLG By 8-14 points
0.0%
COR By 1-7 points
0.6%
COR By 8-14 points
3.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Colgate
66
COLGATE
Cornell
98
CORNELL
Simulated Score
Colgate
74
COLGATE
Cornell
78
CORNELL
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Big Red
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Big Red
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Big Red (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -32.0
D
Sim
Big Red (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 164.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 152.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 20, 2025
COLG @ COR
94 - 95
Dec 4, 2024
COR @ COLG
84 - 57
Dec 30, 2023
COLG @ COR
64 - 77
Dec 22, 2022
COR @ COLG
91 - 80
Nov 16, 2021
COLG @ COR
68 - 78
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+72.1% more
Cornell: 19.1
vs
Colgate: 11.1
Rebounding (L5)
+32.6% more
Cornell: 38.7
vs
Colgate: 29.2
Turnovers (L5)
+29.0% more
Cornell: 12.7
vs
Colgate: 9.9
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+6.6%
Cornell: 39.8%
vs
Colgate: 33.2%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
COLG Score
66.0
94
COR Score
98.0
95
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
39.8 / 33.2
34.0 / 26.0
Assists
19.1 / 11.1
21.0 / 17.0
Blocks
2.4 / 3.8
4.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
49.1 / 50.1
44.0 / 48.0
Free Throw %
69.0 / 80.3
80.0 / 77.0
Rebounding
38.7 / 29.2
40.0 / 42.0
Steals
5.2 / 5.7
7.0 / 12.0
Turnovers
12.7 / 9.9
18.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
COLG
Advantage
18-15-0
(54.6%)
Margin: 1.8
ATS +/-: -1.5
COR
15-13-0
(53.6%)
Margin: 5.1
ATS +/-: +0.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
COLG
12-19-0
(38.7%)
Margin: 1.8
ATS +/-: -1.5
COR
Advantage
11-15-0
(42.3%)
Margin: 5.1
ATS +/-: +0.6
⚖️ Over/Under
COLG
17-14-0
O: 54.8% / U: 45.2%
Total +/-: +4.9
COR
14-12-0
O: 53.8% / U: 46.2%
Total +/-: +6.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
COR
COLG
COR
COLG
ML
44%
12-15
59%
19-13
63%
17-10
69%
22-10
ATS
59%
16-11
72%
23-9
63%
17-10
70%
23-10
TTL
78%
21-6
78%
25-7
100%
27-0
100%
33-0