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CHICAGO STATE

COUGARSCHST

0-5  |  Road

54
FINAL
Thu, Nov 20 • 7:00 PM ET
Carver-Hawkeye Arena
View Odds Details →

IOWA

HAWKEYESIOWA

4-0  |  Home

93
AI Model Win Probability
COUGARS
100%
📊
HAWKEYES
0%
COUGARS --
HAWKEYES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
141.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-7.0
IOWA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +7.0 points (Iowa)
CougarsCHST (-3.5) 0 HawkeyesIOWA (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Cougars Cover

24.2%

Hawkeyes Cover

75.8%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around IOWA -7.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (IOWA)

CHST By 1-7 points

15.3%

CHST By 8-14 points

5.8%

IOWA By 1-7 points

26.2%

IOWA By 8-14 points

25.3%

AI Model Projected Score
67
CHICAGO STATE
74
IOWA
Simulated Score
58
CHICAGO STATE
92
IOWA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Hawkeyes Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Hawkeyes Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Hawkeyes (+32.5) Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Sim Hawkeyes (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -34.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u142.5 Loss
Proj Total: 141.0
D
Sim u142.5 Win
Proj Total: 150.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 20, 2025 CHST @ IOWA 54 - 93
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +133.0% more
Iowa: 2.3 vs Chicago State: 0.9
Assists (L5) +63.2% more
Iowa: 18.1 vs Chicago State: 11.1
Field Goal % (L5) +15.5%
Iowa: 56.9% vs Chicago State: 41.3%
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +8.2%
Iowa: 39.1% vs Chicago State: 30.9%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
CHST Score 67.0 54
IOWA Score 74.0 93
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 39.1 / 30.9 39.0 / 18.0
Assists 18.1 / 11.1 26.0 / 7.0
Blocks 2.3 / 0.9 1.0 / 1.0
Field Goal % 56.9 / 41.3 57.0 / 40.0
Free Throw % 73.9 / 69.3 79.0 / 80.0
Rebounding 30.8 / 28.6 37.0 / 22.0
Steals 8.0 / 7.4 6.0 / 5.0
Turnovers 10.4 / 12.7 7.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
41%TICKETS59%
33%MONEY67%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
74%TICKETS26%
68%MONEY32%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CHST
7-25-0 (21.9%)
Margin: -10.3 ATS +/-: +0.4
IOWA Advantage
24-13-0 (64.9%)
Margin: 8.3 ATS +/-: +1.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CHST
15-15-1 (50.0%)
Margin: -10.3 ATS +/-: +0.4
IOWA Advantage
21-16-0 (56.8%)
Margin: 8.3 ATS +/-: +1.1
⚖️ Over/Under
CHST
15-16-0
O: 48.4% / U: 51.6% Total +/-: -0.5
IOWA
20-17-0
O: 54.1% / U: 46.0% Total +/-: +0.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
IOWA
CHST
IOWA
CHST
ML
59% 22-15
75% 24-8
78% 28-8
73% 22-8
ATS
76% 28-9
69% 22-10
78% 28-8
73% 22-8
TTL
57% 21-16
44% 14-18
100% 36-0
100% 30-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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