TEXAS SOUTHERN
TIGERSTXSO
0-4 | Road
74
VANDERBILT
COMMODORESVAN
4-0 | Home
109
AI Model Win Probability
TIGERS
100%
COMMODORES
0%
TIGERS
--
COMMODORES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
157.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-9.0
VANDERBILT
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +9.0 points (Vanderbilt)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around VAN -9.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (VAN)
TXSO By 1-7 points
12.2%
TXSO By 8-14 points
4.0%
VAN By 1-7 points
24.3%
VAN By 8-14 points
26.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Texas Southern
74
TEXAS SOUTHERN
Vanderbilt
83
VANDERBILT
Simulated Score
Texas Southern
62
TEXAS SOUTHERN
Vanderbilt
78
VANDERBILT
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Commodores
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Commodores
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Commodores (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -9.0
D
Sim
Commodores (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -16.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 157.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 20, 2025
TXSO @ VAN
74 - 109
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+122.0% more
Vanderbilt: 5.4
vs
Texas Southern: 2.4
Assists (L5)
+93.3% more
Vanderbilt: 17.6
vs
Texas Southern: 9.1
Steals (L5)
+39.7% more
Vanderbilt: 9.6
vs
Texas Southern: 6.9
Rebounding (L5)
+25.8% more
Vanderbilt: 41.3
vs
Texas Southern: 32.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
TXSO Score
74.0
74
VAN Score
83.0
109
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
35.6 / 37.5
35.0 / 47.0
Assists
17.6 / 9.1
28.0 / 2.0
Blocks
5.4 / 2.4
5.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
49.5 / 45.3
53.0 / 45.0
Free Throw %
73.0 / 63.2
77.0 / 66.0
Rebounding
41.3 / 32.8
43.0 / 25.0
Steals
9.6 / 6.9
10.0 / 3.0
Turnovers
7.8 / 15.0
9.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
TXSO
12-18-0
(40.0%)
Margin: -2.9
ATS +/-: -0.4
VAN
Advantage
27-9-0
(75.0%)
Margin: 10.8
ATS +/-: +0.7
🎯 ATS (Spread)
TXSO
9-19-0
(32.1%)
Margin: -2.9
ATS +/-: -0.4
VAN
Advantage
18-18-0
(50.0%)
Margin: 10.8
ATS +/-: +0.7
⚖️ Over/Under
TXSO
14-14-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: +3.3
VAN
17-19-0
O: 47.2% / U: 52.8%
Total +/-: +1.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
VAN
TXSO
VAN
TXSO
ML
69%
25-11
64%
18-10
56%
18-14
71%
17-7
ATS
78%
28-8
61%
17-11
56%
18-14
71%
17-7
TTL
58%
21-15
71%
20-8
100%
32-0
100%
24-0
Contextual Game News
Gerry McNamara Vows to Bring Syracuse Basketball Back to Nationa…
Clemson's Brad Brownell Reveals New Identity, Injury Updates at …
Jason Kidd in Advanced Talks to Join ESPN's NBA Countdown as Ana…
Colorado Buffaloes Playbook Left in Hotel Bar, Found by Texas Te…
Georgia vs Vanderbilt: Live Score Updates and Nate Frazier Injur…