ST. LOUIS
BLUESSTL
6-9-5 | Road
2
PHILADELPHIA
FLYERSPHI
9-6-3 | Home
3
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Joel Hofer
#30 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Dan Vladar
#80 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joel Hofer | None-None | 2.82 | 0.893 | -- |
| Dan Vladar | None-None | 1.88 | 0.931 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
2.82
GAA
Ldr 1.88
0.893
Save %
Ldr 0.931
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
BLUES
100%
FLYERS
0%
BLUES
--
FLYERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
3.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
PHILADELPHIA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Philadelphia)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around PHI -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PHI)
STL By 1 goal
12.1%
STL By 2-3 goals
9.3%
PHI By 1 goal
19.7%
PHI By 2-3 goals
29.6%
AI Model Projected Score
St. Louis
1
ST. LOUIS
Philadelphia
2
PHILADELPHIA
Simulated Score
St. Louis
2
ST. LOUIS
Philadelphia
3
PHILADELPHIA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Flyers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Flyers
Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Flyers (+1.5)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim
Flyers (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u5.5
Win
Proj Total: 3.0
D
Sim
u5.5
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 20, 2025
STL @ PHI
2 - 3
Nov 14, 2025
PHI @ STL
6 - 5
Nov 30, 2024
PHI @ STL
3 - 2
Oct 31, 2024
STL @ PHI
1 - 2
Mar 4, 2024
STL @ PHI
2 - 1
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5)
+15.6% more
Philadelphia: 24.8
vs
St. Louis: 21.4
Takeaways (L5)
+13.1% more
Philadelphia: 5.1
vs
St. Louis: 4.5
Power Play % (L5)
+12.5%
St. Louis: 21.1%
vs
Philadelphia: 8.6%
Blocked Shots (L5)
+8.1% more
St. Louis: 14.6
vs
Philadelphia: 13.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
STL Score
1.0
2
PHI Score
2.0
3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
13.4 / 14.6
14.0 / 16.0
Faceoff %
45.7 / 52.2
40.8 / 59.2
Hits
24.8 / 21.4
24.0 / 25.0
Power Play %
8.6 / 21.1
0.0 / 50.0
Shots on Goal
24.8 / 24.8
28.0 / 29.0
Takeaways
5.1 / 4.5
5.0 / 6.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PHI
STL
PHI
STL
ML
75%
3-1
33%
1-2
50%
2-2
67%
2-1
ATS
25%
1-3
67%
2-1
25%
1-3
33%
1-2
TTL
25%
1-3
50%
1-1-1
50%
2-2
50%
1-1-1
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