Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / River Hawks @ Braves UML @ BRAD

UMASS LOWELL

RIVER HAWKSUML

1-5  |  Road

77
FINAL
Wed, Nov 19 • 8:00 PM ET
Carver Arena
View Odds Details →

BRADLEY

BRAVESBRAD

2-3  |  Home

87
AI Model Win Probability
RIVER HAWKS
100%
📊
BRAVES
0%
RIVER HAWKS --
BRAVES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
138.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-24.0
BRADLEY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +24.0 points (Bradley)
River HawksUML (-3.5) 0 BravesBRAD (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

River Hawks Cover

0.8%

Braves Cover

99.2%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around BRAD -24.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BRAD)

UML By 1-7 points

0.6%

UML By 8-14 points

0.1%

BRAD By 1-7 points

4.0%

BRAD By 8-14 points

12.2%

AI Model Projected Score
57
UMASS LOWELL
81
BRADLEY
Simulated Score
63
UMASS LOWELL
75
BRADLEY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Braves Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Braves Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Braves (-21.5) Win
Proj Spread: -24.0
D
Sim Braves (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -12.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u149.5 Loss
Proj Total: 138.0
D
Sim u149.5 Win
Proj Total: 138.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 19, 2025 UML @ BRAD 77 - 87
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +84.1% more
Bradley: 9.2 vs UMass Lowell: 5.0
Blocks (L5) +39.7% more
Bradley: 3.1 vs UMass Lowell: 2.2
Free Throw % (L5) +5.6%
Bradley: 76.9% vs UMass Lowell: 71.3%
Turnovers (L5) +26.7% more
UMass Lowell: 14.6 vs Bradley: 10.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
UML Score 57.0 77
BRAD Score 81.0 87
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 26.5 / 34.8 50.0 / 33.0
Assists 11.7 / 14.3 17.0 / 13.0
Blocks 3.1 / 2.2 3.0 / 4.0
Field Goal % 39.5 / 44.0 52.0 / 48.0
Free Throw % 76.9 / 71.3 73.0 / 85.0
Rebounding 29.8 / 30.4 32.0 / 28.0
Steals 9.2 / 5.0 8.0 / 3.0
Turnovers 10.7 / 14.6 10.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
5%TICKETS95%
61%MONEY39%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
47%TICKETS53%
5%MONEY95%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
59%TICKETS41%
26%MONEY74%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UML
15-18-0 (45.5%)
Margin: -1.4 ATS +/-: -0.3
BRAD Advantage
21-13-0 (61.8%)
Margin: 3.6 ATS +/-: -0.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UML Advantage
16-14-0 (53.3%)
Margin: -1.4 ATS +/-: -0.3
BRAD
13-20-0 (39.4%)
Margin: 3.6 ATS +/-: -0.9
⚖️ Over/Under
UML
14-15-1
O: 48.3% / U: 51.7% Total +/-: +1.2
BRAD
20-13-0
O: 60.6% / U: 39.4% Total +/-: +5.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BRAD
UML
BRAD
UML
ML
65% 22-12
70% 23-10
68% 23-11
58% 19-14
ATS
59% 20-14
70% 23-10
68% 23-11
58% 19-14
TTL
68% 23-11
58% 19-14
100% 34-0
100% 33-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
Clemson's Brad Brownell Reveals New Identity, Injury Updates at …
si 1 day, 1 hour ago
Nebraska Basketball Opens Preseason Practice After Historic 28-W…
now1011 2 weeks, 1 day ago
Illinois Basketball: Three Reasons the Illini Are National Title…
si 3 weeks, 3 days ago
Brad Underwood Reveals Why Illinois Added Under-the-Radar Transf…
si 3 weeks, 5 days ago
Brady Pretzlaff's Long Road Back to Spartan Stadium: A Promise F…
yahoo 3 weeks, 5 days ago