WASHINGTON
WIZARDSWSH
1-12 | Road
109
MINNESOTA
TIMBERWOLVESMIN
9-5 | Home
120
AI Model Win Probability
WIZARDS
100%
TIMBERWOLVES
0%
WIZARDS
--
TIMBERWOLVES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
221.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
MINNESOTA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Minnesota)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around MIN -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MIN)
WSH By 1-7 points
24.3%
WSH By 8-14 points
13.7%
MIN By 1-7 points
26.2%
MIN By 8-14 points
16.9%
AI Model Projected Score
Washington
110
WASHINGTON
Minnesota
111
MINNESOTA
Simulated Score
Washington
115
WASHINGTON
Minnesota
108
MINNESOTA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Timberwolves
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Wizards
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Timberwolves (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -1.0
D
Sim
Wizards (-0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 221.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 223.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 4, 2026
MIN @ WSH
141 - 115
Nov 19, 2025
WSH @ MIN
109 - 120
Feb 1, 2025
WSH @ MIN
105 - 103
Jan 13, 2025
MIN @ WSH
120 - 106
Apr 9, 2024
WSH @ MIN
121 - 130
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+68.0% more
Minnesota: 11.2
vs
Washington: 6.7
Rebounding (L5)
+27.9% more
Minnesota: 48.2
vs
Washington: 37.7
Assists (L5)
+14.3% more
Minnesota: 26.1
vs
Washington: 22.8
Blocks (L5)
+13.4% more
Minnesota: 5.4
vs
Washington: 4.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
WSH Score
110.0
109
MIN Score
111.0
120
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
33.5 / 36.3
34.0 / 44.0
Assists
26.1 / 22.8
28.0 / 25.0
Blocks
5.4 / 4.8
4.0 / 6.0
Field Goal %
47.9 / 46.0
45.0 / 49.0
Free Throw %
77.6 / 77.5
72.0 / 75.0
Rebounding
48.2 / 37.7
50.0 / 43.0
Steals
11.2 / 6.7
11.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
15.0 / 14.7
10.0 / 17.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
WSH
17-65-0
(20.7%)
Margin: -12.0
ATS +/-: -1.4
MIN
Advantage
55-39-0
(58.5%)
Margin: 2.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
WSH
33-49-0
(40.2%)
Margin: -12.0
ATS +/-: -1.4
MIN
Advantage
42-52-0
(44.7%)
Margin: 2.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
⚖️ Over/Under
WSH
47-35-0
O: 57.3% / U: 42.7%
Total +/-: +3.3
MIN
43-51-0
O: 45.7% / U: 54.3%
Total +/-: +0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MIN
WSH
MIN
WSH
ML
54%
63-53
70%
112-49
54%
50-43
47%
39-44
ATS
58%
67-49
69%
111-49-1
54%
50-43
47%
39-44
TTL
63%
72-43-1
74%
119-41-1
100%
93-0
100%
83-0
Contextual Game News
Tampa Bay Rays Expected to Exercise $13 Million Club Option on Y…
Adam Fox Quietly Dominating as Rangers Surge Early in 2026-27
Cal Bears' Injury Report: Eight Players Questionable for Virgini…
Haliburton Returns to Hilton Coliseum as Pacers Defeat Timberwol…
Chicago Bulls Edge Phoenix Suns 124-117 in Preseason Opener